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#1
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
unless he is ridiculously passive, you should get it in.
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#2
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
What do you think his range is?
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#3
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
Kinda worst case scenario is probably something like below and then it's slightly marginal -EV, but a random fish range could perhaps consists of other crappy hands:
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 69.091% 69.09% 00.00% 1368 0.00 { Ah8h, Th8h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 76s } Hand 1: 30.909% 30.91% 00.00% 612 0.00 { 99 } |
#4
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
He could have a set. Donks play sets like this no matter board texture.
I don't think i bet/fold vs donks in this spot especially with good potodds, so probably a thin call. |
#5
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
yeah i think you gotta call here
checking the turn is so much more superior to a bet/fold here but without a read i dunno if it's better than bet/call. |
#6
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
ya as mentioned above, this play is kinda marginal but theres not really a better alternative.
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#7
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Kinda worst case scenario is probably something like below and then it's slightly marginal -EV, but a random fish range could perhaps consists of other crappy hands: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 69.091% 69.09% 00.00% 1368 0.00 { Ah8h, Th8h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 76s } Hand 1: 30.909% 30.91% 00.00% 612 0.00 { 99 } [/ QUOTE ] dont see how this is worst case scenario considering it's missing sets and overpairs, we are far behind a passive players range here and i think this is a very strong fold as played. this is coming from someone who loves to make big calls too, i just dont see this being profitable long run. maybe you stack a crazily played flush draw but i dont think we see it enough |
#8
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Re: Overpair got CRAI on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Kinda worst case scenario is probably something like below and then it's slightly marginal -EV, but a random fish range could perhaps consists of other crappy hands: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 69.091% 69.09% 00.00% 1368 0.00 { Ah8h, Th8h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 76s } Hand 1: 30.909% 30.91% 00.00% 612 0.00 { 99 } [/ QUOTE ] That range is straight absurd |
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