Hand caught in the Cookie Jar

[bugstud]

[ QUOTE ]
This is an unusual way for me to play the hand. I just thought he could lay down AA or AK here against a turn raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

my head just exploded.

[private joker]

You're a huge favorite over any hand on the flop except a set, and even at that it's probably a flip. This is a super-easy flop raise for value, as surfdoc and others have said. Waiting until the turn to raise doesn't make any sense, as your equity plummets once you brick off the turn.

His action on the turn (and the river dark check) means he's going to showdown 100% of the time, and doing it with a Q or a K or better. You don't have the best hand and he's not folding. You lose.

But raise that gorgeous flop. Would you raise with an overpair? You would? OK, well JhTh is better than an overpair here. Pump it.

[SNOWBALL]

[ QUOTE ]

You're a huge favorite over any hand on the flop except a set, and even at that it's probably a flip. This is a super-easy flop raise for value, as surfdoc and others have said. Waiting until the turn to raise doesn't make any sense, as your equity plummets once you brick off the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

We're not a monster favorite. It's actually more like dead even on the flop, given that villain's different holdings include cards that are our outs, and we are hardly a "flip" against a set. Against a set we're 42/58.

[SNOWBALL]

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You're a hudge favorite over any hand on the flop except a set

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fyp

[Captain R]

Extreme tight wad raises UTG? If you don't see two matching letters, fold.

[xerok]

JAM the flop somewhere between 467 and 468 bets as surfdoc said. Then check the turn behind. I think hes thinking about three betting you on the turn so hes definately not folding river