NHL Sports Betting

Boosted J · #1 11-21-2007, 07:55 PM

I have 2 units on Pittsburgh tonight at -139 and I'm also putting 10 units and an arm and a leg on Dallas tonight over Anaheim at -123

Bode Meahn · #2 11-21-2007, 07:57 PM

Go Dallas! That's my team, hence the reason we don't pick their games.

The Pitt v NJ game was tough. Is Brodeur going to start playing like his old self now that 500 has come? Both teams are weak, in my opinion, and had to make the decision on the fact that I think the Penguins have the better play makers.

Bode Meahn · #3 11-22-2007, 01:14 AM

Results:

4 - 5 Overall (44.44%)
2 - 5 Wins were underdogs (+175, +105)
5 - 0 Losses were favorites

[Censor].

Mediocre_Player · #4 11-22-2007, 01:36 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Results:

4 - 5 Overall (44.44%)
2 - 5 Wins were underdogs (+175, +105)
5 - 0 Losses were favorites

[Censor].

[/ QUOTE ]

new system: bet every underdog on the OT included line. hope to get into OT and then donkstrike the 4on4/shootout

gogogogogo

warrantofice · #5 11-22-2007, 03:42 PM

so this is a great system!...i also have one...i live in toronto. i always bet on the leafs....its easy and simple...and just like yours you won't win and money doing it...

Bode Meahn · #6 11-22-2007, 05:12 PM

Right warrant....

Today:

Ottawa Senators -210
Detroit Red Wings -130
Colorado Avalanche -140
Chicago Blackhawks +140

Henry17 · #7 11-23-2007, 08:40 AM

The problem with creating a system starts with the fact you simply don't even understand how to test a system.

By picking every game and not having any weighting system you are creating too much noise. A system would have to be exceptionally good to be detectable given your testing methods. With the amount of noise you are creating it is a real possibility that even if you had a working system you'd reject it.

If you look at my method I pick every game then reject the weaker selections. Picking every game my record over the last 4 days is 13-10 which is awful in hockey. Based on that data I would reject my method.

My games get graded from 1-6 with 1 being the weakest. If we reject just all the 1s now my method is at 11-5. If we look only at the 4 or higher my method is at 4-1.

So had I tested my method using your testing system I would have rejected it. By removing the noise created by the weaker selections I realized that I should only bet 4s or higher and have been making money doing it for years.