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  #21  
Old 09-17-2007, 04:42 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: The cat is back by popular demand.
Posts: 29,344
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
since when is 67% and 60 % not a majority?

And I was talking about the " majority of posters"

But thanks for the stats

[/ QUOTE ]


I just checked covers.
60% is on Philly which I guess is what he meant.

Cammoonacashun skillllzzz ftw!!!
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  #22  
Old 09-17-2007, 04:50 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Austin, TX
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Default Re: monday night game?

Welcome back Indiana.
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  #23  
Old 09-17-2007, 04:56 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: The cat is back by popular demand.
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Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
This thread looks like slowly but surely it's turning into a "how not to manage your bankroll" thread...

Very seriously, you two newbies need to think about going straight here. You both sound like you got in over your heads this weekend and are desperate to get out from a hole so you're looking to take bad bets for the quick fix.

Almost no one on this board which is filled with both BSPs and sharps has mentioned any line in this game they feel is worth betting. That's a pretty clear indication there's no real EV+ to be found, and I shouldn't have to be the one saying that betting to try to force your way even or at least start making up a loss is a horrible, horrible idea.

Seriously, get yourself REAL help. Real help is not suggestions on which team to bet to make up for huge losses.

- C -

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow, could you come across a little more arrogant? lol

[/ QUOTE ]

It didn't seem arrogant to me. I thought his message was 100% spot on.

[/ QUOTE ]


me too fwiw.
All the talk of "have to make it back tonight" etc etc is completely contrary to what we should want this forum to be about imo which mostly is discussion of +EV opportunities and methods in sports-betting.
Maybe that kind of silly talk is okay for the chatter thread though.
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  #24  
Old 09-17-2007, 05:00 PM
kaboshedx kaboshedx is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 537
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
If the eagles cover 7.5 I win my 15 man pool for the week (vs spread) I'm going to win it with 8 correct picks so you know it was a tough week on everyone.

[/ QUOTE ]

it was a tough week for the public, [censored] incredible week for sharps
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  #25  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:28 PM
Morphling29 Morphling29 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 209
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If the eagles cover 7.5 I win my 15 man pool for the week (vs spread) I'm going to win it with 8 correct picks so you know it was a tough week on everyone.

[/ QUOTE ]

it was a tough week for the public, [censored] incredible week for sharps

[/ QUOTE ]

Waiting for someone to say this.

Great week for people that love getting 7.5 to 11 points againts average teams.
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  #26  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:35 PM
rush66 rush66 is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Back home in CLEVELAND
Posts: 874
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
since when is 67% and 60 % not a majority?

And I was talking about the " majority of posters"

But thanks for the stats

[/ QUOTE ]


I just checked covers.
60% is on Philly which I guess is what he meant.

Cammoonacashun skillllzzz ftw!!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, thanks...Im a moron.

On Wash +4 1h, officially.
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  #27  
Old 09-17-2007, 07:07 PM
David BB David BB is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Denmark
Posts: 250
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
Umm, the majority is not on the redskins. 67% according to SI and 60% according to covers. About even on the O/U.

Skins would be the play in my book.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where do you get those numbers from?
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  #28  
Old 09-17-2007, 07:21 PM
IggyWH IggyWH is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: America\'s Finest City
Posts: 8,170
Default Re: monday night game?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
For the record...

I bet the Eagles and the over because it seems like everyone is on the redskins and the under.....

I guess tonight will make an interesting message board

[/ QUOTE ]

Umm, the majority is not on the redskins. 67% according to SI and 60% according to covers. About even on the O/U.

Skins would be the play in my book.

[/ QUOTE ]

I saw in my spam folder that Sportsbook sent me an email claiming that 75% was on the under. Is this just a ploy to get more money on the under or is this legit?
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  #29  
Old 09-17-2007, 07:23 PM
CutCreator CutCreator is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 221
Default Re: monday night game?

i assume covers.com or wagerline.com.

so im not betting the game, however i am trying to learn how the sharps think.

so here is what i am wondering: the line opened at 6, got bet up to 7, and then back down to 6.5. based on covers.com at 7:19pm 59.75% are on the eagles. if the odds makers thought the redskins would not cover wouldn't the line have gone up or is 59.75% not enough to warrant that since 40% or so are on the skins?
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  #30  
Old 09-17-2007, 07:25 PM
sanmarcosrun1 sanmarcosrun1 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 741
Default Re: monday night game?

It is a ploy. They are huge on giving out false info to get squares to take the worst of it.
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