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  #1  
Old 06-29-2007, 04:51 PM
Irishman07 Irishman07 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 232
Default Good time to float/turn bluff?

Villain doesn't seem that great, is 38/20/8 over about 50 hands. His Won $ WSF is around 65% so he apparently likes to win hands and I've seen him attack a weak cbet before. I figure I either have the best hand on the flop still or theres a good chance he's not that strong anyway so I can take it away on the turn if a good card hits for me. I didn't want to just repop the flop because I figured he would double barrel the turn anway with his entire range so I would win more by waiting. How does it look?



Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">Hero ($405)</font>
SB ($397.70)
BB ($410.40)
UTG ($438.80)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $14</font>, SB calls $12, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($32) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $60</font>, Hero calls $40.

Turn: ($152) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $108</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $331 (All-In)</font>
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  #2  
Old 06-29-2007, 05:47 PM
Vammakala Vammakala is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Tiny salmon chasing an impossible dream
Posts: 1,699
Default Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?

I think I bet $24 or $28 on flop and fold to c/r, or don't bet at all.

Your line looks strong but I think it's somewhat problematic, because he could be doing the flop c/r with a variety of draws that include (amongst other) QT. Also, considering this far he has played almsot 40% of his hands, two pair definitely ain't out of his range.

I just don't like the idea of trying to make that kinda loonies fold. Obviously the sample is small too.

The fact to the matter is that he looks like a guy who you should just let hang himself when you actually have something instead of trying to push him around..
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  #3  
Old 06-29-2007, 06:20 PM
catcher193 catcher193 is offline
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Location: min-raising and donk-betting
Posts: 3,671
Default Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?

if you gotta do this, thats the best turn for it aside from a heart I guess.
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  #4  
Old 06-29-2007, 08:30 PM
Laetus Laetus is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,005
Default Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?

This is just spew. He didn't bet on turn to fold for sure. Besides you can't trust his Won $ WSF w/ such a small sample size.
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