50NL - Overpair facing flop c/r

LadyMuck · #1 10-25-2007, 12:17 PM

Want to get some feedback on this situation. Just recently there seems to have been an increase in c/r & r/r on the flop, some of it genuine and obv. some of it is done with air. In this situation villain (17/15/3) calls in the BB, then c/r the flop bet. He would have r/r pf w/ AA or KK, and prob not called w/ 65 or A5, leaving a set as the most likely hand he could have that beats me. Do you fold, call, or 4 bet the flop here?

BB ($49.25)
Hero ($50)
MP ($49.25)
CO ($53.15)
Button ($62.05)
SB ($50.85)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Qd, Qc.
Hero raises to $1.75, 4 folds, BB calls $1.25.

Flop: ($3.75) 4s, 3c, 2s (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.4, BB raises to $7.45, Hero ???

Profish2285 · #2 10-25-2007, 12:20 PM

I think his most likely holdings are sets and overpairs. I like raising his bet here as youre more than likely ahead of his range. You could call to pull the stack a donk on the turn but there are a decent number of cards that kill your action either by scaring you or him.

Nemesis69 · #3 10-25-2007, 12:26 PM

Good post Profish. I like it.

Milky · #4 10-25-2007, 12:30 PM

If you 3bet though, he's most likely folding everything you beat and only calling with hands that crush you (set/unlikely straight) or some kind of big draw.

Profish2285 · #5 10-25-2007, 12:33 PM

Im not entirely sure villain folds his stronger overpairs to a 3 bet honestly. Even 55 is probably going to push/call because of his oesd. The only hands that probably fold here are like 66-88 possibly. Take into account the random times its AQ/AJ thinking youre making a move and I like the 3 bet.

Kasane · #6 10-25-2007, 12:46 PM

If we 3bet here, we're getting pushed on by every flush plus gutter/ set ... everything else is folding that we're way ahead of (pp's 77-JJ or whatever).

I say flat call and see a safe turn and villain's turn action before committing the rest of our chips.

Tanky · #7 10-25-2007, 12:51 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Im not entirely sure villain folds his stronger overpairs to a 3 bet honestly. Even 55 is probably going to push/call because of his oesd. The only hands that probably fold here are like 66-88 possibly. Take into account the random times its AQ/AJ thinking youre making a move and I like the 3 bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Totally agree..i dont think there is a single card in the deck that isnt a scare card to either you or him.