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#1
08-15-2006, 01:30 PM
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Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
Found these on Pinnacle just listed an hour or so ago
Ultimate Fighting Championships 62: Light Heavyweights Forrest Griffin -242 Stephan Bonnar +222 Ultimate Fighting Championships 62: UFC Light Heavyweight Championship Chuck Liddell -300 Renato Sobral +270 UFC Welterweight Championship Matt Hughes -125 Georges St. Pierre +115 I love Forrest over Bonnar. I think that Forrest will get bet down around -200 which is a GREAT play. All the TUF fans will think that this fight is a coin flip (like their first match-up) and getting Bonnar as a dog is a "good bet". Bonnar has looked to have reached this pinnacle after the James Irvin fight while Forrest's game has made steady improvements from fight to fight. I like Hughes at -125. He will probablly end up at -175 to -200 by the time the fight starts. I just see Hughes using his strength to neutralize GSP's overall high energy/activity level. Hughes will get GSP down and using everything he has to keep him down and land an elbow and a few punches here and there for a DEC victory. Tuds 
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#4
08-15-2006, 02:11 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
i emphatically gree re: hughes & forrest.
in fact, a good friend and new mma fan was talking about how he wanted to put money on chuck. i explained to him that his money was better spent on griffin, value wise. hughes at anything less than -350 is a friggin mystery to me.
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#5
08-15-2006, 02:29 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
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#6
08-15-2006, 04:18 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
Pound Hughes and Pound Forrest right now. I recommended to several people to do so as soon as these lines open. Every time the max raises I recommend pounding them again. if you can only chose one, chose Forrest.
I agree with your assessment Tuds, but not on the line movement - Forrest is going to get bet up to around -350 by the time this starts. They're going to go way the other way by the time these fights start. Will present tremendous arb opportunies, not to mention being +EV on their own.
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#7
08-15-2006, 05:27 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
After 2nd thought and seeing Forrest starting to move in the wrong way, I bought into Forrest at -255. You are right Perf Forrest in going to top -300 and maybe move towards -325 or -350 by the time this fight starts.
Hughes is also starting to move in the wrong direction. He is at -131. My guesss is he is over -150 before the day is over. Get on these two guys early because you won't see similar odds in these two fights again. Tuds
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#8
08-15-2006, 05:45 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
[ QUOTE ]
After 2nd thought and seeing Forrest starting to move in the wrong way, I bought into Forrest at -255. You are right Perf Forrest in going to top -300 and maybe move towards -325 or -350 by the time this fight starts. Hughes is also starting to move in the wrong direction. He is at -131. My guesss is he is over -150 before the day is over. Get on these two guys early because you won't see similar odds in these two fights again. Tuds [/ QUOTE ]i am pretty sure i am the guy who just moved both of those lines. i did it largely based on the info in this thread fwiw.
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#9
08-15-2006, 07:11 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] After 2nd thought and seeing Forrest starting to move in the wrong way, I bought into Forrest at -255. You are right Perf Forrest in going to top -300 and maybe move towards -325 or -350 by the time this fight starts. Hughes is also starting to move in the wrong direction. He is at -131. My guesss is he is over -150 before the day is over. Get on these two guys early because you won't see similar odds in these two fights again. Tuds [/ QUOTE ]i am pretty sure i am the guy who just moved both of those lines. i did it largely based on the info in this thread fwiw. [/ QUOTE ] Don't lie.
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#10
08-15-2006, 07:17 PM
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Re: Early UFC 62 & 63 Lines
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] After 2nd thought and seeing Forrest starting to move in the wrong way, I bought into Forrest at -255. You are right Perf Forrest in going to top -300 and maybe move towards -325 or -350 by the time this fight starts. Hughes is also starting to move in the wrong direction. He is at -131. My guesss is he is over -150 before the day is over. Get on these two guys early because you won't see similar odds in these two fights again. Tuds [/ QUOTE ]i am pretty sure i am the guy who just moved both of those lines. i did it largely based on the info in this thread fwiw. [/ QUOTE ] Don't lie. [/ QUOTE ]  maybe i underestimate what is takes to move lines. i bet both lines and then they both moved. so i dunno. i guess i just had good timing
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