AA vs turn cap, can I find a fold here?

[VPIP100]

Party Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $0.25/$0.5
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $16.35
Hero: $18.32
SB: $7.45
BB: $12.65

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7.4SB, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4.7BB, 2 players)
UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG caps</font>, Hero calls.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (12.7BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: 14.7BB


Villain is TAG over 150 hands, extremely aggresive and rarely makes it to the showdown, I didn't play any pots with him yet. He ran quite good winning around 75% of his showdowns.

Can I find a fold here?

[BigBadBabar]

just call the turn raise and call the river, see showdown for the same number of bets. the way you played it, once you get to the river you have to call. but you can get there much more cheaply.

[nichtsnutz]

Nope. JJ is the only hand you are afraid of and you're not afraid of it until he caps the turn. He is at least as likely to be holding AA-QQ or even a Flushdraw. Since is TAG it could even be AJ.

You can't fold on a board this low and uncoordinated in a pot this big for one bet.

[fretelöo]

What about A4s? With that few players I wouldn't put it past an "extremely aggressive" TAG to try a blind steal from UTG with that...

As BBB, I would just call the turn raise and c/c the river.

[calidris]

I'm not very experienced shorthanded but anyway. Him holding AA is less likey than KK-JJ since there's only 2 more A's left. AJ would probably be raised on the flop by a TAG, as would KK-QQ. I think I'd give him credit for trips on the turn but call down in case it's AJs (hearts) which would give him a huge amount of outs in his perspective. Of course it could be pocket 22, 33, 55 also.