Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-27-2006, 12:07 AM
Albert Moulton Albert Moulton is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Live Full Ring NLHE
Posts: 2,377
Default 96.5% to win just isn\'t enough sometimes...

This is the 4th hand of an MTT.

Level:1
Blinds(20/40)

10 handed

All players have approximately 3000T chips, which is the starting amount for this tournament.

** Dealing down cards **

Dealt to Hero UTG [ 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ]

Hero calls [40].
UTG+1 folds.
UTG+2 folds.
MP folds.
MP+1 folds.
MP+2 calls [40].
CO folds.
Button folds.
SB folds.
BB isn't at the table yet

** Dealing Flop ** [ J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ]

Hero bets [70].

MP+2 is all-In [2900]

Hero calls [2830].

** Dealing Turn ** [ A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ]
** Dealing River ** [ A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ]

Hero shows [ 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ] a full house, Twos full of aces.

Villain shows [ J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ] a full house, Aces full of jacks.

Villain wins 5940 chips from the main pot with a full house, Aces full of jacks.

I was a little curious about the odds of losing this after all my chips went in. So I checked.

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 2s 5c Jh
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
2d 2h 955 96.46 35 3.54 0 0.00 0.965
Jc Ad 35 3.54 955 96.46 0 0.00 0.035

That was the highest EV I've ever lost with for all my chips. It's also been my shortest MTT.

Whine complete. I'm glad there is a beat forum to post this on. I had to whine somewhere.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-27-2006, 12:08 AM
Andrew Karpinski Andrew Karpinski is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: making out
Posts: 5,873
Default Re: 96.5% to win just isn\'t enough sometimes...

Same [censored] happened to me for real money; it sucked.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-27-2006, 12:51 AM
gol4pro gol4pro is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 2,087
Default Re: 96.5% to win just isn\'t enough sometimes...

fold preflop.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-27-2006, 01:07 AM
WasItMe WasItMe is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 35
Default Re: 96.5% to win just isn\'t enough sometimes...

[ QUOTE ]
fold preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-27-2006, 01:36 AM
La Brujita La Brujita is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 3,840
Default Re: 96.5% to win just isn\'t enough sometimes...

I've had three worse beats this week. Not trying to rain on your parade. I don't like poker.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:38 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.