Borgata $750 - Overpair facing flop C/R vs. rock

[Todd Terry]

Early on, blinds 25/50, started with 6000, Villain has 6000, I have 6600. I recognize Villain, in his 50's or 60's, as a guy I played with about 1 1/2 years ago for 4-5 hours. He's a knowledgeable player and a complete rock. I'm fairly sure he doesn't recognize me.

Villain raises UTG to 200, I'm 2 to his left and make it 700 with KK. Everyone folds, Villain calls. Flop: Q 5 4 rainbow. Villain checks, I bet 1000, he immediately makes it 2500. Your action?

[registrar]

Do rocks raise/call AQ UTG?

[Mench]

Ugh, if he is as rockish as you say, and is like other old nits were not really ahead of much, but at the same time I cant see him playing QQQ this fast, and usually bad rock nits 4 bet AA pre. If you are beat, it has to be exactly AA.

I really think this depends on if he can possibly have AQ here.

[NYWalker]

If he can't put you on over pair here, he's not good enough to fold AQ, he may play JJ/TT this way too. I would go all-in.

[pacecar86]

against known knowledgeable/rock = I think AA/QQ a lot here

[Todd Terry]

I thought about the hand forever, and ended up folding. I thought AQ was unlikely because (1) I didn't think he'd call an EP 3bet of an UTG raise with AQ; and (2) I didn't think he'd make a kamikaze flop C/R with AQ when in all likelihood I had an overpair to the board. In subsequent conversations with him, he implied that my hand was good, but who knows?