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  #11  
Old 10-18-2006, 11:35 AM
CLB CLB is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Breaking even at $200NL
Posts: 164
Default Re: Flopped top 2 after being CRed preflop

[ QUOTE ]
Fold preflop, push here, lose to KK, standard.

Read http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...umber=6454057.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good link, thanks.
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  #12  
Old 10-18-2006, 09:49 PM
CLB CLB is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Breaking even at $200NL
Posts: 164
Default Re: Flopped top 2 after being CRed preflop

OK, at this point I'm having a running conversation with myself, but none the less...

Apparently I WAS overvalueing the fact that there are only two QQ/KK hands possible. I just ran the numbers in PokerStove and came up with:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

7,920 games 0.005 secs 1,584,000 games/sec

Board: Ts Qs Kc
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 46.9192 % 46.22% 00.69% { KhQc }
Hand 2: 53.0808 % 52.39% 00.69% { QQ+ }

This is the tightest reasonable range, but I would have thought that I would have been better than 47% here. I think I'm missing something in regards to the 1 QQ + 1 KK vs. 6 AA hands math...anyone got any suggestions?
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  #13  
Old 10-18-2006, 10:05 PM
Leviathan101 Leviathan101 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 706
Default Re: Flopped top 2 after being CRed preflop

does stove automatically accountfor the fact that two queens are already gone, and factor in the probability that AA is more likely than QQ and KK? In other words is AA weighted as 6 times more like than QQ or KK?

If it doesn't weight it, is there a way to make it do so?
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