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  #1  
Old 12-22-2006, 04:57 PM
LeadbellyDan LeadbellyDan is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 281
Default Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

Villains are 37/3/1.4 and 43/0/2.6. Who likes my river bet? Is the rest ok?

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $3/$6
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, Hero checks.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4SB, 4 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls, CO folds, SB calls.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3.5BB, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks.

River: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3.5BB, 3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>,
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  #2  
Old 12-22-2006, 05:36 PM
jba jba is offline
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

river bet is bad IMO, one of them is probably going to call and you obviously dont have anything.
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  #3  
Old 12-22-2006, 05:38 PM
poisonxfree poisonxfree is offline
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Location: Running bad, playing worse
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

I don't like it against 2 opponents.
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  #4  
Old 12-22-2006, 05:40 PM
WalkUpCondo WalkUpCondo is offline
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

I checkcall this flop a lot personally. Betting isn't horrible but against this line-up and with this pot size I do not necessarily think it's worth it.

The river is probably -EV but I can see merits. I think you get looked up often given your play and the pot is very small. You also don't represent much well - straight that went for a turn checkraise, trip fives I guess. However they can't really have much either, and I'm not sure they can even have enough to call. Getting called by A7 would suck though and I'm not sure it's that rare.
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  #5  
Old 12-22-2006, 07:03 PM
justkevin justkevin is offline
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

You certainly represent 5x well here, and that card is unlikely to help anyone (except a real 5x holder). The question is, will it work on two villains at once more than 1/3 of the time?

I have absolutely no idea, but that rarely stops me from talking. I say go for it. Worst case scenario is players start calling your river bets when you actually have something.
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  #6  
Old 12-23-2006, 03:32 AM
dano dano is offline
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

The river bet is good. You'd really expect to hear one of these players wake up somewhere with a pair or better. Most likely you're facing some overcards or a draw. You only need to take the pot down around one third of the time to make it +EV.

Honestly, I fire a second barrel on the turn quite often given how loose these players are.
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  #7  
Old 12-23-2006, 03:36 AM
counterspell counterspell is offline
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Default Re: Stars 3/6. Bluff on river with missed srt8 draw.

this is a bluff i would never make, but upon thinking about it, it seems pretty strong.
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