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  #1  
Old 11-29-2007, 11:47 PM
shemp shemp is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

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DS,

I doubt it. Theres too high a risk of accidental death for most people who IMO will be able to fit the correct lifestyle patterns (wealthy, fit). You may, however, be able to find a really small subset that fits it, but no way of really testing. I think you could get pretty close... Maybe 35-45%?

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Yeah. If only there was an industry built on pricing this sort of proposition. If only...

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I dunno if they get down to specifics like: "Do you eat a calorie restricted diet everyday?" "Do you eat red meat?" "What religion are you?" "How happy is your marriage?" "Are these answers to these health questions accurate?"

Obv actuaries give us a starting point and I'd like to imagine DS realizes this as well and wants to see what is beyond them.

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If actuaries give us a starting point, then isn't it sensible to start there rather than speculate about what to do when we reach the end of their data's use?

edit: decided not to edit after all.
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2007, 12:00 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
DS,

I doubt it. Theres too high a risk of accidental death for most people who IMO will be able to fit the correct lifestyle patterns (wealthy, fit). You may, however, be able to find a really small subset that fits it, but no way of really testing. I think you could get pretty close... Maybe 35-45%?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah. If only there was an industry built on pricing this sort of proposition. If only...

[/ QUOTE ]

I dunno if they get down to specifics like: "Do you eat a calorie restricted diet everyday?" "Do you eat red meat?" "What religion are you?" "How happy is your marriage?" "Are these answers to these health questions accurate?"

Obv actuaries give us a starting point and I'd like to imagine DS realizes this as well and wants to see what is beyond them.

[/ QUOTE ]

If actuaries give us a starting point, then isn't it sensible to start there rather than speculate about what to do when we reach the end of their data's use?

edit: decided not to edit after all.

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Apologies. Clearly DS in his senile ramblings wants real tangible answers instead of random musings like every other thread he creates (Barring that one he made that landed me a little 2p2 vacay). My error.
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2007, 12:57 AM
ozdg3nr8 ozdg3nr8 is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

why do people want to live that old. it is depressing as hell.
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  #4  
Old 11-30-2007, 01:10 AM
Blarg Blarg is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

I doubt it. Ill health and diminished capacity are what is depressing as hell, not simply being old. But not all people get a huge dose of that before dying. If you hit 90, you've probably got pretty good genes, so you might be one of the ones still doing okay when older.
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  #5  
Old 11-30-2007, 11:39 AM
jogsxyz jogsxyz is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

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why do people want to live that old. it is depressing as hell.

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Bush Sr. is in his eighties and in good health and still sky diving. It's not that depressing. He could be our first ex-president to make it over 100.
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  #6  
Old 11-30-2007, 04:45 PM
PLOlover PLOlover is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

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Bush Sr. is in his eighties and in good health and still sky diving. It's not that depressing. He could be our first ex-president to make it over 100.

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he's on prozac and other drugs I've heard.
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  #7  
Old 11-30-2007, 09:42 PM
wezvidz wezvidz is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

a lot of older folks are on antidepressants. does that somehow discount his good health status for his age?
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  #8  
Old 11-30-2007, 09:51 PM
Blarg Blarg is offline
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Default Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?

That opens up the can of worms of whether we would say young people who take ritalin are in bad health.
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