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  #1  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:41 PM
valdiesel valdiesel is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 104
Default Should I make a river bet here?

Opponent is 42/14-besides that I havent played a hand agtainst him nor have I seen him show down a hand.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $45.40
Hero (BB): $57.50
UTG: $64.75
CO: $51.95
BTN: $59.25

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1.75</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6.00</font>, BTN calls $4.25

Flop: ($12.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $9.50</font>, BTN calls $9.50

Turn: ($31.25) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($31.25) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero?
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  #2  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:46 PM
Snozynoze Snozynoze is offline
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Posts: 123
Default Re: Should I make a river bet here?

What do you beat here? JJ? KT?
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  #3  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:48 PM
valdiesel valdiesel is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 104
Default Re: Should I make a river bet here?

[ QUOTE ]
What do you beat here? JJ? KT?

[/ QUOTE ]

Should we call if he makes a river bet?
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  #4  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:52 PM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Location: Boston
Posts: 1,640
Default Re: Should I make a river bet here?

I think a better question is whether you call his 1/2PSB
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  #5  
Old 09-30-2007, 08:53 PM
Prodigy54321 Prodigy54321 is offline
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Location: South Jersey
Posts: 5,326
Default Re: Should I make a river bet here?

I kinda like a smallish bet here...maybe even just $10..and fold to a raise obviously

EDIT: keep in mind I play 25NL..and there, I think people have hands that have a T or 8 or a lower PP and will call with them enough to make betting about 1/2 the pot profitable on the river...might not be the case at 50NL, I don't know...
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  #6  
Old 09-30-2007, 09:21 PM
relativity_x relativity_x is offline
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Location: 3 bet min-raising
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Default Re: Should I make a river bet here?

I like the way you played pre and flop.

From his action, I'd have him on a jj+/aks+. His turn action is odd because I doubt he'd put you on a flush draw, and I doubt he'd call that large of a bet on the flop with ak w/o the flush draw or higher pair. I think his most likely holding is KK/AK, but this depends a lot on his AF.

With that said, I think you have three moves on the river, either check/call,check/fold, or bet/fold. Check/call allows him to bluff with a JJ but that's about it. If you bet/fold, I doubt you're going to get any hands besides KK to fold. If you check/fold, you're allowing him to bluff you out with a worse hand.

I think the best option is check/fold because he's not staying past the flop without two overs/flush draw. Since the ace hits, I don't see you beating much on the river.
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