*** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***

[AllinDan]

TAM has a 30% edge in DVOA this week; I like the ml with or without Garcia

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
TAM has a 30% edge in DVOA this week; I like the ml with or without Garcia

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem is, as nonfiction pointed out, the dropoff from Garcia to Gradkowski is pretty large. It's about a 45% edge in DVOA. I don't yet know how that translates overall, but I do know that the Saints have a very good run defense and if Gradkowski is the QB, they won't be very successful just running the ball. To beat NO, you have to be able to throw the ball.