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#12
11-16-2007, 12:31 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
[ QUOTE ]
Because CO doesn't have a set obviously. Probably at best. [/ QUOTE ] Range, please. 
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#13
11-16-2007, 12:33 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK
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#14
11-16-2007, 12:36 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
[ QUOTE ]
AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK [/ QUOTE ] i don't think we'll see AA here hardly ever with the action and he'll never have K8. i agree that if he has 88 here he's betting the flop but i don't think it's too unrealistic for him to check KK.
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#15
11-16-2007, 12:37 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
OP said he was a good TAG, I was going off of that.
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#16
11-16-2007, 12:39 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
This is AA>>>KQ>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>KK>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>QQ Imo.
Sucks that u lost, but I would play is the same. 22 on the Broadway Broadway Two flop, facing a pfr that wants to go all in is AWESOME.
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#17
11-16-2007, 12:39 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
imo if he's the type of guy who checks top set here, he is equally likely to check middle set too. its not like hes going to bet middle set because he is more afraid of having the 2nd best hand or being sucked out on.
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#18
11-16-2007, 12:41 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
C'mon, we're getting like 3:2 on the push and only need 40% equity when called. That's exactly our equity against this range: AKs, KK, 88, AQhh. And I guess this is the worst we can come up with. Plus: I don't see why a TAG shouldn't be able to openraise K8s in the CO.
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#19
11-16-2007, 12:56 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Villain's stats are: 19/15/3.x/23 after 300 hands
my check-raise seems like I have a good hand. So what is his range to push it? AK? -> he would make a cbet imo --> NOT in his range AA? -> possible K8? -> maybe... KK 88 -> ? I dunno if he push that with flushdraw. Dont think so
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#20
11-16-2007, 12:57 PM
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
I really really doubt he checks K8 on this flop. Really doubt it.
Seems to me like everyone is grasping for scenarios where we can call because ZOMG WE HAZ A SET. 1st level thinking + justification. I could be wrong, but IMO we should fold here. Assuming the opponent is a good TAG. This is the key. Against anyone else I get all in.
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