***FEATURED PROP #1*** wsop

[GrannyMae]

From playersonly.com
(accepts yanks!!)

Top Past Champion - 2007 WSOP (Main Event) - (Highest Money Finisher Wins - Decided On Prize Money ) (All Bets Are Action)
Jul 06, 2007 12:00 pm ET

any thoughts?




Amarillo Preston 30-1


Berry Johnston 15-1


Bobby Baldwin 20-1


Brad Daugherty 25-1


Carlos Mortensen 10-1


Chris Ferguson 10-1


Chris Moneymaker 25-1


Dan Harrington 12-1


Doyle Brunson 12-1


Greg Raymer 12-1


Hal Fowler 50-1


Hamid Dastmalchi 40-1


Huck Seed 12-1


Jamie Gold 25-1


Jim Bechtel 20-1


Joe Hachem 12-1


Johnny Chan 12-1


Mansour Matloubi 30-1


Noel Furlong 40-1


Phil Helmuth 9-1


Robert Varkonyi 25-1


Russ Hamilton 15-1


Scotty Nguyen 12-1


Tom Mcevoy 20-1

[Quadstriker]

At first glance, it all looks horrible to me.

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
At first glance, it all looks horrible to me.

[/ QUOTE ]


there's 24 names.

the odds don't seem too out of line, and i see an opportunity or two.

what makes it look horrible?

[pokerplayer28]

Will all of these players even be playing?

anyway my picks would be harrington 13, gold 25 and dastmalchi 40

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
Will all of these players even be playing?

anyway my picks would be harrington 13, gold 25 and dastmalchi 40

[/ QUOTE ]

you raise a good point. it should be "no action" if your horse does not play, but i fear that it will be lost wager.

i like hachem

don't want to reveal my long shot yet [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[Quadstriker]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
At first glance, it all looks horrible to me.

[/ QUOTE ]


there's 24 names.

the odds don't seem too out of line, and i see an opportunity or two.

what makes it look horrible?

[/ QUOTE ]

I misread the prop and for some reason thought it was "odds to make the final table."

[Sniper]

Got stats on where these guys placed the last few years?

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
Got stats on where these guys placed the last few years?


[/ QUOTE ]
excellent point. i'll put that together.

also, i emailed the site to find out if you get your $$$ back if your player does not play. still waiting for an answer.

[pokerplayer28]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Got stats on where these guys placed the last few years?


[/ QUOTE ]
excellent point. i'll put that together.

also, i emailed the site to find out if you get your $$$ back if your player does not play. still waiting for an answer.

[/ QUOTE ]

They cant refund the bets on players that dont play and still pay the same odds on the others. So its action wheather they play or not. Could be some profitable bets if more than a couple arnt playing.

[GrannyMae]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Got stats on where these guys placed the last few years?


[/ QUOTE ]
excellent point. i'll put that together.

also, i emailed the site to find out if you get your $$$ back if your player does not play. still waiting for an answer.

[/ QUOTE ]

They cant refund the bets on players that dont play and still pay the same odds on the others. So its action wheather they play or not. Could be some profitable bets if more than a couple arnt playing.

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm certain you are right.

i think the value here is to start with eliminations for whatever reason, and see who is left on the list.