3-ball the turn with bottom 2 multiway?

[sweetjazz]

The fact that it's a good idea to fastplay a set on this flop plus the fact that the TAG is overaggressive causes me to discount sets to close to 0% at this point (maybe 10-20%?). Now if he caps the turn, I reassess and weight sets or QT much more heavily. But I'm weighting his hand to AQ/KQ/QJ very heavily.

Overpairs and sets don't just flat call the flop and wait for the turn very often. There was just a thread about infrequently situations arise for that play. While waiting for the turn to raise with an overpair or set here wouldn't be awful, it's not a particularly good play in this spot and certainly something that I would be very surprised to see.

And realistically it doesn't matter because your equity is so good and you're getting 2-to-1 on your money. You can weight sets and overpairs heavily and you still have a (much thinner) value raise.