over/under on november elections

pizzystrizzy · #1 08-18-2006, 12:31 AM

My friend suggested that the democrats are not going to win many if any seats in the fall. I made a proposition bet with him-- he wins if the democrats take two or less seats, I win if they take 3 or more. Who is the sucker here?

bisonbison · #2 08-18-2006, 12:49 AM

your friend. Democrats need six seats in the senate. I predict 4.

4 High · #3 08-18-2006, 01:33 AM

Is the bet on the Senate, House or Congress?

pizzystrizzy · #4 08-18-2006, 01:59 AM

both combined

XxGodJrxX · #5 08-18-2006, 02:40 AM

Historically, the opposing party to the a lame-duck President in his second term gains seats. Seeing how Bush's approval ratings are still low, you can expect the Democrats to do decently well. I would not bet on them taking either the House or the Senate away from the Republicans, but they will definitely gain seats in both chambers.

whiskeytown · #6 08-18-2006, 02:57 AM

Post deleted by [censored]

ElliotR · #7 08-18-2006, 08:44 AM

Both combined? Your friend is betting with his heart, not his head. Raise the stakes as much as he will let you.

TomCollins · #8 08-18-2006, 09:05 AM

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it's my understanding that voter suppression in 6 key states will probably sink our chances at the Senate but I'd say 3 seats isn't too unreasonable.

RB

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voter suppression = keeping people from voting twice.

vulturesrow · #9 08-18-2006, 09:36 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
it's my understanding that voter suppression in 6 key states will probably sink our chances at the Senate but I'd say 3 seats isn't too unreasonable.

RB

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voter suppression = keeping people from voting twice.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually:

Republican wins close race = voter suppression
Democrat wins close race = people speaking their mind, throwing the bums out of office, etc.

BluffTHIS! · #10 08-18-2006, 09:47 AM

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Both combined? Your friend is betting with his heart, not his head. Raise the stakes as much as he will let you.

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Dang I agree with Elliot on something. The dems are by no means certain to take either house or both, but have a reasonable chance to do so. And if you look at current polling the repubs have a lot more tossups or merely leaning their way than the dems do in both houses, and despite having to defend fewer seats in the senate. I would def up the stakes with this bet.