SHOULD YOU MAKE THIS CALL?

[pdsharp]

I WAS IN A LIVE TOUNEY THE OTHER NIGHT, I'M IN MIDDLE POSITION UNDER GUN. WE ARE AT 400/800 50 ANTE, 8 PLYERS AT TABLE. I RAISE TO 2400 WITH 99. MY STAX ABOUT 12K. PLAYER AFTER ME GOES ALL IN COSTS ME ABOUT 4500 TO CALL. BLINDS FOLD, ME AND HIM HEADS UP. DO YOU MAKE THE CALL?

[umistboy]

Middle position and UTG?

[umistboy]

I call. If we lose we've enough to play shorstacked with ~5k.

We're getting 2.3-1 (is this right?) so only need a 30% chance to win.

Any reads on players - I supertight I fold.

[pdsharp]

YEP,EVERYBODY ELSE FOLDS JUST ME AND ALLIN

[pdsharp]

HE WAS CONSERVATIVE BUT NOT ROCK, I WAS MOVED AROUND ALOT SO I WAS ONLY AT TABLE FOR MAYBE AN HOUR. I HAD HIM ON AK, BUT WASN'T SURE.

[Nairb]

How close are you to the bubble or are you already in the money? If on bubble I may fold this with any kind of read that villian is very tight but absent that I call. Your average player with an M of less than five has a pretty wide range here to re-steal with a push.

[Popped Rod]

You're getting 2:1 on what could be a coinflip, so calling sound good.

As others have written, if you lose this hand, you still have a decent shortstack to make a viable comeback.

Rod

[Dunkman]

1) the all caps is annoying and not necessary

2) I don't think there's any range you can reasonably put him on and not have a call here getting over 2:1. He's shoving less than 9 BBs, and this would be a call against AK JJ+.

[Nairb]

If you put him on A K it is an insta call. I would call here if I SAW he had A K.

[Wish]

He's short stacked enough that he's probably starting to loosen up. The blinds are coming, and his M is around 5. Repopping an UTG raiser suggests strength, but his stack size suggests a wide range. I'd go with a range of maybe 77+, AJ+. I don't have an equity calculator, but if I'm in the right ballpark on that range, this is probably a call.

PS - Please stop shouting.