Which side of this bet would you take?

Mano · #1 03-05-2007, 07:40 PM

NBA championship. Dallas and Pheonix against the field, even money. If you don't think it is a good even money bet, where would you set the line? Thanks.

Jordan · #2 03-05-2007, 07:46 PM

if you put any faith in the WSEX pro bball futures, then the bet would be roughly even money, with a slight lean towards dal & phx. me personally... i'd take the field if i had to choose a side.

Homer · #3 03-05-2007, 07:47 PM

Dallas and Phoenix is a slight favorite (55% or so), so I would take that side.

Jordan · #4 03-06-2007, 04:18 AM

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Dallas and Phoenix is a slight favorite (55% or so), so I would take that side.

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there's no way dallas and phoenix are 55%. at wsex you can buy a dallas and phoenix contract for $55 total. wsex stays in business by handing out -ev bets not 0ev ones.

if you could buy at the average of the buy and sell prices you'd pay $51 for both dallas and phoenix, but i have to believe that the prices are shaded a little bit against dallas and phoenix... what fish wouldn't bet on them?

all in all, if the wsex numbers are close, this prop is roughly a coin flip.