Another flopped set. Turn push?

leehrat · #1 04-13-2006, 05:15 PM

villain here is 20/6.6/2 over a meaningless 30 hands. i figured he might have A10, but could easily also be trying for a free card, have KQ, or something else. i also knew we would eventually go pot-pot anyway, so i figured i'd just push it in here in case i was ahead. thoughts?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP ($37.03)
CO ($61.65)
Button ($46.32)
SB ($47.44)
BB ($73.95)
Hero ($53.40)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
Hero raises to $2, MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB (poster) calls $1.75, 1 fold.

Flop: ($6.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6.2, MP folds, SB raises to $12.4, Hero calls $45.20 (All-In), SB calls $33.04 (All-In).

Turn: ($103.34) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($103.34) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: $103.34

jjigglers · #2 04-13-2006, 05:17 PM

Standard.

Grunch · #3 04-13-2006, 05:18 PM

Love it too much to express in words.

leehrat · #4 04-13-2006, 05:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Love it too much to express in words.

[/ QUOTE ]

even with his stats over 30 hands?

quarkncover · #5 04-13-2006, 05:27 PM

[ QUOTE ]
villain here is 20/6.6/2 over a meaningless 30 hands

[/ QUOTE ]

BukNaked36 · #6 04-13-2006, 05:29 PM

99% of the time you're ahead here. Good POOOSH.

No regrets on a hand like this.

leehrat · #7 04-13-2006, 05:29 PM

thanks for the replies everyone. i have a side question. i'm now down 6 buy-ins over my last 1500 hands and it's been absolutely brutal. i've lost my stack with about 80% of the sets i've hit. is that kind of variance acceptable for a winning player?

Grunch · #8 04-13-2006, 05:30 PM

The stats are totally meaningless so far.

Just last night I was playing against someone who looked like a rock. After 75 hands his stats were 10/1. Rock, right?

So then a hand comes up, he raises PF UTG there's calls & action & stuff. He ends up calling down & getting his JTs top pair beat by something stupid. He then started playing more hands in a similar way.

Moral? He was a donk who got no cards for 75 hands.

djoyce003 · #9 04-13-2006, 05:32 PM

that's variance....i've lost 6 buyins in less than 1500 hands before, although it shouldn't be a regular occurrence.

Grunch · #10 04-13-2006, 05:34 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i'm now down 6 buy-ins over my last 1500 hands and it's been absolutely brutal. ...

[/ QUOTE ]

Me too.

Quit yer bitchin & get back to work.

(Of course, I suck at poker, so maybe you should re-evaluate the turn.)