Sunday Million- Raymer's bustout hand

[THEOSU]

bond,

sacker had everybody covered by like 300k, so he's not really putting his "tournament life on the line"™.

[Confused1]

I think the payout structure goes to making Greg's call good, too.

He went out in 42nd and 28-42 all make the same, so 1/3 of the field remaining will make exactly what he does if he loses his flip ($4,500 - and BTW, I agree that he's ahead of the range). 1st place is $263K - I didn't do the ICM, but doubling up here is huge.

[djk123]

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obviously my most likely hand is ak however my range is not any pp. it is qq and jj and possibly 99.

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So given your incredibly tight range of 99-QQ and AK, he's 47.4 to 52.6 and needs 1.11:1 to call.

He's getting 1.09:1.

Now keep in mind this is for that range, which I think you should definitely take QQ out of at least partially - if you take out 2 of the combinations of QQ now suddenly Raymer is 50/50 vs. your range, and still your range is incredibly tight.

What are you doing with AQ here? Are you really flatting PPs <9s?

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I havn't done any math or anything, but I do not think QQ should be discounted. 99 should be eliminated or discounted at least 50%. Also, since the guy is an unknown, I don't think Raymer can totally eliminate KK-AA from his range. Maybe count 2 combos of KK and 1 of AA?

[ZJ123]

I dont get why he cant have AA or KK here, i really dont see much of a bet sizing tell here because, the OR opens for 2.5x with 10bbs total, and the big stack shoves... What does this mean? i really dont discount AA or KK that much. Also i think you have to remember that the OR is still in this hand and could, maybe even should, be huge. He opens for 2.5x, with 10bbs, that is scary.

[Thegunshow]

This may seem like absolute lunacy, but with a mountain of chips and AsKs, whats would've been wrong with just calling hoping for an iso push with by someone with a small pair to get some additional chips in the middle. Flame away...

[ZJ123]

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die

[curtains]

FWIW Im pretty sure I'd move allin with AA-JJ, but ok thats just me.

[Bond18]

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bond,

sacker had everybody covered by like 300k, so he's not really putting his "tournament life on the line"™.

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Your very right, stupid me, nullifies my point.

[NHFunkii]

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FWIW Im pretty sure I'd move allin with AA-JJ, but ok thats just me.

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WIW = not much in this situation =]