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#1
10-27-2007, 04:02 PM
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16-0 Prop
WSEX has the NO at -354 for any team going 16-0
I went ahead and bet the no, and I might ARB back. Indy and NE play each other in week 10, with the winner having 7 games remaining. I can then parlay that team to win (ML) 7 weeks in a row. The question is - would you think that such a parlay comes in at greater than +355? I didn't bother with the math, I think the bet is +EV no matter what, regardless of this arb, I could even get lucky and one of them loses this week, adding a tight ML for an 8th week into the parlay. In practice, I'll probably just let it ride. 
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#2
10-27-2007, 05:20 PM
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Re: 16-0 Prop
multiple threads on this already
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#3
10-27-2007, 10:09 PM
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Re: 16-0 Prop
Do you realize that all those money lines you'll be laying anywhere from -200 to -1200 with the average probably around -400? How is this winning you money? If you want to bet ML favorites, go ahead, but you can't tie it into this bet. Also, the "no" price will continue to approach 100. You can't garuantee a win by placing a bet on "yes" later in the season. Ever. If there is some site out there that is offer +400 on the "yes" right now, go ahead and arb it if you feel like it.
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