Estimate Straw poll rusults.

[The4Aces]

I think it would be fun if everyone estimated the results for tomorrows Ames Straw poll. These are my guesses:

Romney: 29%
Giuliani: 22
Paul: 12
Huckabee: 9
Brownback: 8
McCain: 8
Tancredo: 5
T. Thompson: 5
Cox: 1
Hunter:1

[AWoodside]

Romney: 25%
Giuliani: 30%
Paul: 20%
Rest: whatevs

[NeBlis]

if Paul gets over 10% I will bust a nut. *crosses fingers*

[rwesty]

Romney will win by a fairly large margin. Paul and Giuliani will fight for 2nd IMO.

[4 High]

Romney 35%
Brownback 14%
Huckabee 12%
F. Thompson 10%
Guliani 8%
T. Thompson 6%
Paul 6%
McCain 5%
Tancredo 2%
Hunter 1%
Rest 1%

[The4Aces]

Is F. Thompson even going to be an option in this poll? I wasnt sure thats why i didnt include him.

[Copernicus]

The last I saw Giuliani and McCain weren't participating

[DVaut1]

Romney 30%
Tancredo 16%
Brownback 13%
Giuliani 12%
Huckabee 10%
F Thompson 8%
McCain 3%
T Thompson 3%
Paul 3%
Hunter 1%
Cox 1%

[DVaut1]

lol @ "Paul 20%", "Paul fighting for 2nd place":




http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...mney_as_1.html

"Of the 30 Republican officials - representing county parties around the state and the party's Central Committee - who responded to the survey via email, 93% picked Romney to win in Ames.

...

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, a libertarian in the truest sense of the word, did not receive a single vote in the poll. The lone anti-war voice on the GOP stage, Paul would be unlikely to earn support, or even notice, of people involved in Republican circles enough to be an elected board member."

http://www.iowaindependent.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=727

"While Texas Rep. Ron Paul runs away with most self-selected, unscientific polls, Redlawsk’s research shows Paul with 2.4 percent support. Redlawsk called Paul’s support very small and very intense. “Paul is the Republican’s Kucinich,” he said.

"I can't see him ever getting out of the race, but in the end he won't draw more than a relatively small fringe." said Redlawsk. "Republican caucus goers are not that interested in driving off a cliff. Electability still matters, which is why Romney, who is seen by Republicans as pretty electable, is getting so much traction even among conservative Republicans.""

[DVaut1]

[ QUOTE ]
Romney 35%
Brownback 14%
Huckabee 12%
F. Thompson 10%
Guliani 8%
T. Thompson 6%
Paul 6%
McCain 5%
Tancredo 2%
Hunter 1%
Rest 1%

[/ QUOTE ]

Romney 35% would be a huge romp.

Tancredo at 2% is way low. He has alot of appeal in places like Iowa and is polling well there:

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/...n3155569.shtml

"The poll's real impact will be felt among the second-tier candidates, making second place the most-watched position on Saturday. The University of Iowa poll showed Colorado Rep. Tom Tancredo holding that spot, at 16 percent. Giuliani was in third at 12 percent — which could be crucial if the actual poll turns out the same way."