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  #11  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:22 AM
The once and future king The once and future king is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Iowa, on the farm.
Posts: 3,965
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

So your saying the probability is 0?
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  #12  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:36 AM
HSB HSB is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 2,378
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
BTW you should have seen my stats a before it started not allowing me to win ANY 80-20 (80% for me) all ins. I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in. NOT RIGGED HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA.

[/ QUOTE ]

How many sets of seven 80/20 hands do you have?

.00128 <> 0
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  #13  
Old 09-25-2006, 10:55 AM
Sciolist Sciolist is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: London
Posts: 4,135
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
BTW you should have seen my stats a before it started not allowing me to win ANY 80-20 (80% for me) all ins. I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in. NOT RIGGED HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA

[/ QUOTE ]
What's your User ID?
Which specific hands are you looking at that're 80%?
What do you dictate as a hand that counts?
Over what period is this?

I can then look at your account, locate all hands that count, and list them here for all of 2 + 2 to see. We can then determine if this is what really happened in your case, or if you are looking at a cognitive bias.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias
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  #14  
Old 09-25-2006, 12:45 PM
-zero- -zero- is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Busting shortstackers
Posts: 5,071
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
BTW you should have seen my stats a before it started not allowing me to win ANY 80-20 (80% for me) all ins. I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in. NOT RIGGED HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA

[/ QUOTE ]
What's your User ID?
Which specific hands are you looking at that're 80%?
What do you dictate as a hand that counts?
Over what period is this?

I can then look at your account, locate all hands that count, and list them here for all of 2 + 2 to see. We can then determine if this is what really happened in your case, or if you are looking at a cognitive bias.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
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  #15  
Old 09-25-2006, 02:11 PM
CORed CORed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,798
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
hard to argue with scientific proof like that.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am using the same rigorous standards of scientific proof that the "site x is rigged" posters use.
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  #16  
Old 09-25-2006, 02:13 PM
CORed CORed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,798
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Insufficient sample size, donktard.
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  #17  
Old 09-25-2006, 02:27 PM
kyleb kyleb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: the death of baseball
Posts: 10,765
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
BTW you should have seen my stats a before it started not allowing me to win ANY 80-20 (80% for me) all ins. I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in. NOT RIGGED HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA

[/ QUOTE ]
What's your User ID?
Which specific hands are you looking at that're 80%?
What do you dictate as a hand that counts?
Over what period is this?

I can then look at your account, locate all hands that count, and list them here for all of 2 + 2 to see. We can then determine if this is what really happened in your case, or if you are looking at a cognitive bias.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias

[/ QUOTE ]

Man, I loved running the All-In report and shutting up idiots who emailed us with bad beats.

I really miss that part of the job. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #18  
Old 09-25-2006, 02:29 PM
CORed CORed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,798
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
Do you know what the statistical odds are for that? Just to show you an example....try flipping a coin (50%) and have it land on one side seven times in a row. Nevermind the fact that I had 80% chance, not 50%.

[/ QUOTE ]

The probablility of winning the Powerball lottery are much lower than hitting heads 7 times in a row, or losing 7 80/20 allins in a row. Yet, people win the powerball all the time. OMG! Powerball is rigged.

Donktard.
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  #19  
Old 09-25-2006, 02:50 PM
CORed CORed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,798
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
.00128 <> 0

[/ QUOTE ]

This seems to be a difficult concept for lots of people to grasp. They get a cluster of bad beats and holler "rigged". Yet, somehow, their royal flush that had a lower probability than their string of bad beats doesn't make them think the site is rigged in their favor. Of course, lots of them will tell you that that stuff never happens in a live game. Which usually means that it didn't happen in the 20 hours of live poker that they've actually played.
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  #20  
Old 09-25-2006, 03:03 PM
cgwahl cgwahl is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 649
Default Re: Stars is now number one.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
BTW you should have seen my stats a before it started not allowing me to win ANY 80-20 (80% for me) all ins. I'm 0 for my last 7 with an 80% chance going into the all in. NOT RIGGED HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHA

[/ QUOTE ]
What's your User ID?
Which specific hands are you looking at that're 80%?
What do you dictate as a hand that counts?
Over what period is this?

I can then look at your account, locate all hands that count, and list them here for all of 2 + 2 to see. We can then determine if this is what really happened in your case, or if you are looking at a cognitive bias.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias

[/ QUOTE ]


[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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