AA river

[That Fish]

So, you guys calling a 3bet here on the river?

[ILOVEPOKER929]

[ QUOTE ]
So, you guys calling a 3bet here on the river?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, when anyone says they would raise this river, calling a 3bet is implied.

[milesdyson]

[ QUOTE ]
So, you guys calling a 3bet here on the river?

[/ QUOTE ]
AA99 > KKTT99

[TheHip41]

raise/call

[waffle]

I agree w/ 929, I'm going to have to think about this :|

[BigBrother]

I agree with raising this river.

I am definitely a 'go for the overcall' kind of guy, but given the board I think it's pretty likely SB was on flush or straight draw and won't overcall.

40/10/1's can find folds on the river. 60/20's who limped the whole way could have Aces beat, but would have raised on the turn 90+% of the time.

The Donk really will be what it appears to be most of the time: a King. And if he bet/folds well more power to him but I just don't see it often enough to let it stop me in this particular case.

I think the 'Overcaller' crowd are forgetting that your opponents don't know you have AA.

[TomBrooks]

You're usually beat, but some donkeys will bet into you with little here or just Top Pair. I wouldn't raise it generally unless I had a good read that the donkey always donks the river with no more than top pair. Usually I don't have that good of a read on any one player.

PS: As some others said, going for the overcall will often get you just as much when you're ahead and often more since they both might fold to a raise. This also prevents you from losing an extra bet the times you get re-raised. I assume you would fold to a re-raise and not pay 2 extra.

[RaiNz]

I am with the raise the river crowd. It looks like UTG has a K, and SB missed his draw. Going for an overcall in this spot seems weak.

[GetThere1Time]

[ QUOTE ]
ilovepoker929,

why are you so stubborn?

raising is clearly the correct play. there is no doubt in my mind. just raise, make money, and move on to the next hand

and, i agree when you say, "trust me when I tell you, you are not a 2-1 favorite here"

we're like a 9-1 favorite.

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quoted for re-emphasis since this thread got bumped. Rock on, MD

[dakra]

I would raise, too.
If we assume we are beat 1 out of 10 times and say sb will always fold for a raise and overcall 50% of the time the EV
for raising is : 90%*10 + 10%*-3 = 8.7
and overcalling: 90%*9.5 + 10%*-1 = 8.45

therefore raise.