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  #21  
Old 09-05-2007, 02:35 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

Here is a link to a good loop of the developing storm:

Sat pic of "Gabrielle"

I will check model runs this afternoon and post if there's anything interesting.
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  #22  
Old 09-05-2007, 04:43 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

Japanese model -- the gradient at the coast seems underdone:



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  #23  
Old 09-05-2007, 04:55 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

Most recent Wavewatch model (showing wind speeds and directions)

Hitting the NC coast:



Carrying 50-60 knot winds up the coast to New Jersey

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  #24  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:05 PM
EHoffman EHoffman is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

This is pretty hilarious that you quote Accuwx (which is awful) and then quote models that are not programmed to be able to handle tropical storms.
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  #25  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:14 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

Sorry, I don't speak condescending retardation.

Give your credentials, explain why you call AccuWx "awful" (which is completely incorrect with regards to certain forecasters and hurricanes), and then maybe we can have an intelligent, non-condescending discussion. If you read the whole thread (assuming you can read), you'll see at the top that I explained that it's been 20 years since I've been involved in the field.

I studied meteorology with a guy named Eric Hoffman. Please tell me you're not him. He was a good guy.

Edit -- by the way, are you seriously contending that the Wavewatch model is not programmed to handle tropical storm forecasting?
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  #26  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:19 PM
onthebutton onthebutton is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry, I don't speak condescending retardation.

Give your credentials, explain why you call AccuWx "awful" (which is completely incorrect with regards to certain forecasters and hurricanes), and then maybe we can have an intelligent, non-condescending discussion. If you read the whole thread (assuming you can read), you'll see at the top that I explained that it's been 20 years since I've been involved in the field.

I studied meteorology with a guy named Eric Hoffman. Please tell me you're not him. He was a good guy.

Edit -- by the way, are you seriously contending that the Wavewatch model is not programmed to handle tropical storm forecasting?

[/ QUOTE ]

Oooo! Weatherman fight! Gogogogogo!

And, does anyone have any insight why this isn't hitting the news yet?
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  #27  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:20 PM
4_2_it 4_2_it is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

[ QUOTE ]
Oooo! Weatherman fight! Gogogogogo!


[/ QUOTE ]

Am I the only one secretly hoping that one of them will use a trident?
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  #28  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:26 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

[ QUOTE ]
And, does anyone have any insight why this isn't hitting the news yet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Probably because the effect on the big cities is very much up in the air. Most of the models though are showing a storm hitting either SC or NC and then moving north.
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  #29  
Old 09-05-2007, 05:31 PM
niss niss is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

GFDL model:





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  #30  
Old 09-05-2007, 07:25 PM
bugstud bugstud is offline
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

this is why I almost went into meteorology
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