$22 AQ on the bubble

[Kazimyrch]

Villain is a solid regular. Didn't want to call this one with the short stack. Thoughts?

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t300/t600
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t1330
Button: t4735
SB: t3990
Hero: t3445

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t1800</font>, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: t1200 returned to SB.

Results:
Final pot: t1200

[Kevin8423]

I probably shove here, especially against reg who will know to fold without a huge hand and who will dominate the rest of the bubble if he gets these chips.

[Kazimyrch]

But when he's solid, his range is narrow. It would suck big time to lose this hand instead of folding and probably get ITM.

[EscapePlan9]

I think you have a tremendous amount of fold equity here. If SB is a "solid reg" his 3x raise (instead of shove) only means one thing "I will fold to a shove because of the cripple".

[eejit]

[ QUOTE ]
I think you have a tremendous amount of fold equity here. If SB is a "solid reg" his 3x raise (instead of shove) only means one thing "I will fold to a shove because of the cripple".

[/ QUOTE ]
I disagree.

If he is solid it's possible he has a monster and knows you will fold to a shove, so he 3x raises hoping you will come over the top.