Rickjs Handicapping Picks wk of 10/30

[riccja]

no....i have no programming abilities...i hired some programmers and told them what I wanted.

2nd half probably due to variance.

Rick

[Utah]

[ QUOTE ]
Did you create these "neural net" models yourself, or are you simply adjusting the input variables? My quick search shows a ton of different types, but Im assuming you went with standard model and tweaked what you felt were the best inputs and then added your filter.

[/ QUOTE ]With a good net model you shouldn't have to tweak anything with the inputs. That is the job of the net itself to handle. Now, you may want to add or subtract inputs. But, all you have to do is unleash a little genetic training on the net and it will handle that exceptionally well too. There are 2 real challenges to this. 1 - you have enough data and 2 - you don't miss adding any key inputs. You can add too many without a problem (assuming enough data) because the net will simply "ignore" inputs without value and nets are exceptional at handling noise. But, a net cannot see key ones you fail to feed into it.

[Jazzy3113]

All the sites on this are so freakin vague about how they do it. I wish there was an annual 2+2 sports betting convention and I could visit your booth.

[centris]

[ QUOTE ]
All the sites on this are so freakin vague about how they do it. I wish there was an annual 2+2 sports betting convention and I could visit your booth.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am not sure how successful such a convention would be. I am pretty sure the vast majority of successful sports betters are not into giving out specific details about how they do it.

[riccja]

Wedn we lost with cleveland +3.5 in the nba. They really never had a chance to cover and didnt make much of a run the entire game.

Today 1 play in the nba.

Seattle +10.5

Good Luck

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com

Record to date:

NFL (07-08)
Sides 9-5 +3.75
Total

Ncaafb(07-08)
Sides: 11-6-0 +4.70
Totals: 26-9-2 +16.55

NBA 07-08
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total

NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 1-0 +1.40
totals:

MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-93 +3.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40

mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09

Arena Football
Sides:
Total: 1-0 +1.00

WNBA
Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05

ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63

nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83

nhl
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10

Nba
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sept 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Year2 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70units +6.91%
Total: 762 bets +66.80 +8.77%

[Jazzy3113]

ummm where the heck are you getting 10pts? its 7.5 everywhere.

[rsigley]

[ QUOTE ]
ummm where the heck are you getting 10pts? its 7.5 everywhere.

[/ QUOTE ]

where do you see 7.5 points? i see 10.5 everywhere and 11 on bodog

[riccja]

you must be looking at the wrong game...its 10.5 everywhere and still is

Rick

[Jazzy3113]

this is weird..DSI has it now at 8.5 for me.

I asked my buddy to show me his lines and he uses the same book and his line is 10.

I sent DSI an email about this. Something similar happened last weekend. I wanted to bet San Diego and did but i had to take them at 10.5 and had to buy 1/2 a point. My buddy said he got to bet them at 9.5 staright.

[Jazzy3113]

Also, Rick.

I tried sending u a pm, but it keeps says error. Can you send me a pm with your email discussing your deal/cost structure for your ncaa bb picks.

Thanks.