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  #91  
Old 11-06-2007, 11:23 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 8,227
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

'more than likely' <> No Chance.
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  #92  
Old 11-06-2007, 11:41 PM
psuasskicker psuasskicker is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: More than meets the eye
Posts: 2,043
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

'my other 5 teams are not gonna make it' = No Chance.

- C -
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  #93  
Old 11-07-2007, 12:43 PM
kyro kyro is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Melting Sabrina
Posts: 24,320
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

Current playoff odds courtesy of www.footballoutsiders.com

Cleveland: 39.0%
Oakland: 0.3%
Houston: 1.5%
Atlanta: 0.5%
Buffalo: 11.0%
Miami: 0.0%
Tennessee: 91.0%
Detroit: 49.3%
KC: 41.3%
Green Bay: 97.4%
NYG: 64.9%
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  #94  
Old 11-07-2007, 11:24 PM
DannyOcean_ DannyOcean_ is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: so it goes...
Posts: 4,232
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
Current playoff odds courtesy of www.footballoutsiders.com

Cleveland: 39.0%
Oakland: 0.3%
Houston: 1.5%
Atlanta: 0.5%
Buffalo: 11.0%
Miami: 0.0%
Tennessee: 91.0%
Detroit: 49.3%
KC: 41.3%
Green Bay: 97.4%
NYG: 64.9%

[/ QUOTE ]

Expected value time! hooray!

Omahahahaha
$200
.3% chance to win!

Kdog
$250
27.3% chance to win

NajdorfDefense
$400
30.2% chance to win

Lpmatt
$200
4.8% chance to win

Methodz
$200
4.8% chance to win

trixtrix
$2000
2.8% chance to win

Amerzel
$400
53% to win


So AFisher is ahead and is likely to win every bet except amerzel, who is statistically ahead right now. Of course, these number will change from week to week, but i think AFisher did ok on this one.
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  #95  
Old 11-07-2007, 11:27 PM
Thremp Thremp is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Free Kyleb
Posts: 10,163
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.
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  #96  
Old 11-08-2007, 05:45 AM
Assani Fisher Assani Fisher is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: BRINGING THE HOLIDAY CHEER
Posts: 11,592
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting
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  #97  
Old 11-08-2007, 11:49 AM
Thremp Thremp is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Free Kyleb
Posts: 10,163
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that suppose to be an indicator of how good you run? Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?
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  #98  
Old 11-08-2007, 02:01 PM
B00T B00T is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 3,011
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?

[/ QUOTE ]

Cmon, you know how sharp "Assani's friend" is. Unbelievable feat, imo.
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  #99  
Old 11-08-2007, 03:35 PM
Assani Fisher Assani Fisher is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: BRINGING THE HOLIDAY CHEER
Posts: 11,592
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like Assani won all his FO flippaments. Too bad people gave him a fat edge by not reading.

[/ QUOTE ]


If I win this year, this will be the 4th year in a row(and I've only offered it for 4 years) that nobody has been successful.

100,828 and counting

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that suppose to be an indicator of how good you run? Or how suboptimal everyone else is playing?

[/ QUOTE ]

I think its a -EV bet for people to take against me. If you disagree, I'll run it next year as well.

100,744 and counting
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  #100  
Old 11-08-2007, 03:42 PM
Tyler Durden Tyler Durden is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: 126th place in the 2004 WSOP
Posts: 5,923
Default Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

What are the odds on this bet anyway?
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