NLTRN 100 - TP + OESD facing reraise

[xSCWx]

Villain has been a nutcase on flops that I have checked into him. His check on the flop makes me think he either has air or a monster. He check/called me earlier with 98 on a 987 flop. We ended up all in on a 3 turn and he sucked out against my JT. We haven't gotten into that many other big pots.

Full Tilt Poker Game #3704884754: $100 + $5 Heads Up Sit & Go (28244251), Table 1 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 9:26:15 ET - 2007/09/29
Seat 1: xSCWx (1,030)
Seat 2: cmoijuju (1,970)
cmoijuju posts the small blind of 20
xSCWx posts the big blind of 40
The button is in seat #2

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to xSCWx [J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]]
cmoijuju raises to 120
xSCWx calls 80

*** FLOP *** [3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]]
xSCWx checks
cmoijuju checks

*** TURN *** [3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] [T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
xSCWx bets 240
cmoijuju raises to 480
xSCWx has 15 seconds left to act



The only thing I can imagine him playing like this "normally" is a set. He seems a little screwy so I guess it is possible that he slow played a jack or 2 pair but he would normally bet this. A weird line from AQ maybe?

Shove? Call? Fold?

[People_Mover]

calling sucks, it's shove or fold and here i get it in and don't feel good about it [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

[waxhax0rs]

Way above my level but the way you described him it surely seems like something like 2pr or a set, maybe AJ (would he slowplay AJ?), but with 1/3 of your stack invested and some outs (with the small chance that your ahead) I'd say "aw piss" and shove it in.

[daveT]

Stove!

Board: 3c 9d Th Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.409% 28.41% 00.00% 4200 0.00 { QJs, QJo }
Hand 1: 71.591% 71.59% 00.00% 10584 0.00 { JJ-99, J9s+, T9s, J9o+, T9o }

Maybe that range is too narrow.

Board: 3c 9d Th Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.409% 28.41% 00.00% 4200 0.00 { QJs, QJo }
Hand 1: 71.591% 71.59% 00.00% 10584 0.00 { JJ-99, J9s+, T9s, J9o+, T9o }


Interesting, adding AQ, and other middle pair OESD hands, the picture gets sightly better.

Nah, I figure that there is also a chance he has that AK or something as well. I can't see playing a big pair like this.

So, shove, I guess.

[xSCWx]

I found that hands like AQ or OESD were possible if he was mixing up his play but much much less likely than the 2pr+ type hands.

I ended up saying [censored] it and shoving, I'll wait a little to post results though.

[Vinetou]

Good play. I would shove and hate it also.