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  #121  
Old 05-04-2005, 02:06 PM
DcifrThs DcifrThs is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Spewin them chips
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Default Re: DERB

[ QUOTE ]
I've played a decnt amount in the 30 game, but I don't datamine, so I have nowhere near the stats that some of you have to search through. For the life of me, I can't figure out who this is, although I have a few possiblities.

I respect the fact that we don't throw around others screen names in the public forum...but if a PM is appropriate, I would appreciate it. I would like to see what I could learn from this player...I think it could really be educational.

[/ QUOTE ]

theres nothing to learn...he plays like crap!! i've logged many hands with him and i'm just working w/ data right now to find out just how unlikely it is that he plays like that and wins.

-Barron
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  #122  
Old 05-04-2005, 07:58 PM
Boris Boris is offline
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Location: i ain\'t got my taco
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Default Re: DERB

[ QUOTE ]
There are many players who play loose and win in high limit games.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't believe you. At least if we're talking about 7 handed or more.
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  #123  
Old 05-04-2005, 08:40 PM
BarronVangorToth BarronVangorToth is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: MEAN Streets of FAIRFIELD, CT
Posts: 4,607
Default Re: DERB

[ QUOTE ]
theres nothing to learn...-Barron

[/ QUOTE ]

I appreciate the work you're doing to quantify his game but certainly there IS something to learn, whether it is precisely what he's doing and how to potentially apply that to our games OR establish that he's doing something shady and then warning PP about it.

Because I don't know about all of you, but I'd like to have that BB/100 stat and I'm interested to see what he's doing to get it (either to know if it's possible OR realize that some are out there cheating to get it and then avoiding them).

Barron Vangor Toth
www.BarronVangorToth.com
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  #124  
Old 05-04-2005, 10:23 PM
JasonP530 JasonP530 is offline
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Default Re: DERB

If appropriate, could someone let me know as well who this person is. There is a player I can think of that plays the 10/20 15/30 like this, and I was always wondering how he wins. He is very agressive and seems to run people out of the pot an awful lot. This is interesting, because I beat up on him and dont fold to him, but I see others doing it. If someone could let me know, I would really appreciate it.

Jason
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  #125  
Old 05-04-2005, 11:01 PM
morello morello is offline
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Location: Waterloo
Posts: 515
Default Re: DERB

I don't know the guy in question so no comments there.

However, one of the biggest online winners overall, someone who never gets mentioned on these forums, runs at ~27% vpip (stars 30-60, 100-200) in 7handed+ games.

If I wasn't absolutely certain he was a big winner, I would consider him a fish. His numbers seem bad, and he does things that I don't understand. But he's destroying the games he plays in.

Just goes to show that simply looking at a VPIP number isn't going to give you the information you need.

Not that that's the case here, just that saying "he plays 30% of hands, he must be losing" isn't really a good argument.
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  #126  
Old 05-04-2005, 11:07 PM
BarronVangorToth BarronVangorToth is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Default Re: DERB

[ QUOTE ]
"he plays 30% of hands, he must be losing" isn't really a good argument.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed. I absolutely believe it's possible to be a winning player with a 30. I think for most people, it isn't a viable strategy, as your post-flop skills have to be excellent.

The key boils down to what the other Barron (okay, he was here first, so the original Barron) discovers with his data. I know some (the other/original Barron included) have said that this isn't skill, but I'm not entirely convinced.

Yet. Even though it probably is either variance ahoy or collusion ahoy in some fashion.

Barron Vangor Toth
www.BarronVangorToth.com
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  #127  
Old 05-04-2005, 11:45 PM
James282 James282 is offline
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Default Re: DERB

Out of curiousity, and I'm not trying to be a dick, have you ever played with this guy before? He does not play a +EV style. You're going to drive yourself nuts if you try to explain this run rationally.
-James
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  #128  
Old 05-04-2005, 11:49 PM
Nikla Nikla is offline
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Default Re: DERB

I really like having him on the table. As for his run, I can't explain it. I think he's pretty damn bad. But he is aggressive, I'll give him that.
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  #129  
Old 05-05-2005, 12:04 AM
flub flub is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 269
Default Re: DERB

We are talking about "L" and not "P" right? I think he really has the # of some ppl causing them to make pot size mistakes. The mistakes he makes though are bet sized ones and get him big action on his good hands. I wouldn't guess that he'd be a winning player, but money makes a strong argument and I'm not going to totally ignore it.

-f
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  #130  
Old 05-05-2005, 12:08 AM
PokerMike PokerMike is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Sydney, Australia
Posts: 226
Default Re: DERB

I think its very interesting that both you and James think he is an awful player, yet stoxtrader thinks he is an awesome player.

Anyone know his exact SD/100? Maybe putting his results into confidence intervals might shed some light on his over/under. I think if you fool around with some numbers the under is at least $100/hour(which is actually pretty bad in this game, but given that its his bare minumum its likely he makes much more, and at the very least isn't a losing player).

EDIT: OK i punched in a few numbers for the stats i have for him. I have 93205 hands, Winrate of 2.58(assuming all are 30/60).

SD/100 Lower Bound Upper Bound
20 1.3 3.87
21 1.24 3.93
22 1.17 4
23 1.11 4.06
24 1.05 4.13
25 0.98 4.19
26 0.92 4.26
27 0.85 4.32
28 0.79 4.38
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