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Old 12-22-2006, 03:04 PM
Chris_ca Chris_ca is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Winnipeg, MB, CANADA
Posts: 218
Default Re: 25NL Pair and OESD vs. Maniac Donk

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I understand everything you are saying here but it is all based on the assumption that I'm behind 100% of the time. Once again, he could literally have any two here, his raise does not define his range much here.

Here's a simulation
713,790 games 0.141 secs 5,062,340 games/sec

Board: 5c 2c 3s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 66.6759 % 62.64% 04.04% { 5h4h }
Hand 2: 33.3241 % 29.29% 04.04% { 22+, A2s+, K5s-K2s, Q5s-Q2s, J5s-J2s, T5s-T2s, 95s-92s, 85s-82s, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K6o-K2o, Q6o-Q2o, J6o-J2o, T6o-T2o, 96o-92o, 86o-82o, 72o+, 62o+, 52o+, 42o+, 32o }

[/ QUOTE ]

The question isnt whether he can have any 2 when he raises, that certainly to be the case. The question is will he CALL with any two when you shove. If he folds any hand you're beating, and calls with any hand beating you, its a terrible shove.

What do you know about hsi range for calling all in in a spot like this?

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok, in an earlier hand I had JJ on the button and raised to $1.25. He reraised to $3.5. I pushed my remaining $17 and he called with A-3 offsuit. He hit an ace and stacked me. this should give you an idea how easy he will go to the felt with a hand that you would think anyone with a decent brain would realize is badly beaten.
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