Gamble? - Page 2

Dan BRIGHT · #11 10-23-2006, 06:22 PM

gamble here = donk off stack

DJ Sensei · #12 10-23-2006, 06:54 PM

definitely call, huge mondo overshove is more often something loco than a set/top2. and we're in great shape against any other FD/combodraw.

also, gamboooooooool!

Albert Moulton · #13 10-23-2006, 08:01 PM

Board: 9c 7s 3c

Hand 1: { Kc7c }
Hand 2: { TT-99, 77, 33, 9c8c, 8c6c, 5c4c, 97o }
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 44.0643 % 44.06% 00.01%
Hand 2: 55.9357 % 55.93% 00.01%

I think you can profitably call if you are getting paid at least 3:2 or better. You can't rely on MP to call. So, if MP folds, you'll need to win 600 or more to call 400 on the push. In this case, there is $46 in the pot + $400 raise, so you'll win only $460. That isn't quite 1:1, but almost.

So, fold - unless you put villain on a much wider range of hands including a fairly large number of bluffs. In that case, you might have to rethink, but folding is still probably best.

duh · #14 10-23-2006, 10:48 PM

if he shoves big draws with any frequency then you have to call...

Also, even if slightly -EV, it Meta Game considerations might swing it the other way... Throw in the possiblity of monkey-spew if you crack his set, I think this is 50/50 at worst.. Flip a coin, cause I's not too shabby either way..

aejones · #15 10-23-2006, 11:04 PM

Call quickly.

Outdraw.

Rinse with soap and water.

Profit from sweet image.

Repeat.

duh · #16 10-23-2006, 11:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Call quickly.

Outdraw.

Rinse with soap and water.

Profit from sweet image.

Repeat.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ahh, the simplified algorithm for our slower members...NH

pyedog · #17 10-23-2006, 11:41 PM

hmmm you're only getting 460:400 on a probable coinflip. I guess there's some slight EV but probably not worth the gamble.

He could have a higher club draw in which case you're currently leading but he probably has some overs too, which would still be a coinflip.

It would be an ideal situation if he had something like Tc8c but even still a fold is probably best overall.

ninjia3x · #18 10-23-2006, 11:49 PM

callllll

ninjia3x · #19 10-23-2006, 11:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I like it wth the Ac but without it I fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

the fact that hero doesn't have Ac should motivate you to call, if he did have Ac, then u might wanna fold.

spoohunter · #20 10-23-2006, 11:57 PM

He had 106 of clubs and I won with a pair of sevens.