these debates remind me of...

[chezlaw]

[ QUOTE ]
But what about the Monty Hall problem? A logical approach will always ascertain the correct answer, while an illogical approach will not (can you give an example of how an illogical approach will yield a correct answer, and do so at least 50% of the time?). A coin flip will yield the correct answer 50% of the time.

Explain this, and you'll have me convinced.

[/ QUOTE ]
I once backed a horse called 'always switch' that came in at 100:1 so I switch.

or I watched this program a few times and the people who didn't swicth won each time so the law of averages says I should switch.

chez