2/4 NL - 3 Aces see ugly river and leadout

Burdzthewurd · #1 10-26-2007, 04:37 AM

2/4 NL 5-handed

Villain's SN is Lagboat, though he doesn't seem like one. I saw him pull a triple-barrel bluff against a regular with a missed FD and got called down by bottom pair earlier. No real history vs. him.

Stacks -

Villain - $600
Hero - $488

Hero raises to $16 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3 folds, Villain calls.

Flop 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Villain checks, Hero bets $27, Villain calls.

Turn A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Villain checks, Hero bets $70, Villain calls.

River 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Villain bets $300, Hero?

Anyone fold vs. unknown? Raising is quite bad I'd assume. Default call?

wdead · #2 10-26-2007, 04:57 AM

I always call here and mega tilt when some fish shows up with 98

AAismyfriend · #3 10-26-2007, 05:08 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I always call here and mega tilt when some fish shows up with 98

[/ QUOTE ]

LucidDream · #4 10-26-2007, 05:10 AM

call

luegofuego · #5 10-26-2007, 05:49 AM

what do u mean fish, 98 played it perfectly.

olof86 · #6 10-26-2007, 05:56 AM

what hand that we beat is he supposed to turn into a bluff ? a set should bet less, 2 pair as well, An A should be checking I guess. I think he shows up with A8, 98, 68, 88 here a ton.

LucidDream · #7 10-26-2007, 05:58 AM

who cares about those hands...we have THREE ACES!!!!

luegofuego · #8 10-26-2007, 06:02 AM

yeah while i understand the tongue-in-cheekness, its not really that funny or constructive in any case.

i fold

WizardAce · #9 10-26-2007, 06:13 AM

81-19 equity against random hands
90-10 against 22+
75-25 against 22+, 98
easy call

LucidDream · #10 10-26-2007, 06:18 AM

i just think its a call because for all the hands mentioned that make a straight are also an equal number of hands that make 2pr or a set that villain will believe is good. when you add in random bluffs in even in small frequencies i think calling is fine since villain would be foolish to chk those hands since hero is very likely to chk behind almost his entire range. the overbet obv changes things a bit and helps make a case for a fold but i still think a call may be slightly +ev but obv high variance.