25NL - one of those annoying as hell flops...KK, 3b

[Micro Donk]

opponent ive played over a decent sample relative, a couple hundred hands, he runs about 18/9/.9

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $28.55
SB: $21.90
BB: $26.65
UTG: $12.70
MP: $33.40
CO: $41.20

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $1</font>, CO calls $1, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5</font>, 2 folds, MP calls $4, CO folds

Flop: ($11.35) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero...


what would be an appropriate bet size, and what if he shoves?

[spivey]

Bet $7.50, fold if he shoves (because of his stats).

[Micro Donk]

i feel like i may be pot commited if i bet, but i might be just deep enough to get away from it i guess...

would it change much if i had exactly 100 bb?

[Speedlimits]

10/call shove

[Profish2285]

If you are 100 bb's deep I cant fold this to anyone. Im not folding this with your stack either though. Im going to give him a tight range here. Note you are behind to his range but you would be getting 3:1 on your money so this is a must call. You only need to be good 25% of the time against that range to break even.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

15,840 games 0.001 secs 15,840,000 games/sec

Board: Jc Tc Th
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.289% 40.28% 03.01% 6380 477.00 { KhKs }
Hand 1: 56.711% 53.70% 03.01% 8506 477.00 { AA, KcKd, QQ, JdJs, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, AcKc }


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[tobotronik]

what hand do you put him on that beats you? if villain is a reasonable nit (as his stats imply) he's not gonna hang in there with AJ, QJ or KJ oop. guess betting 9-10 is fine here, i'm almost always calling here if he shoves. if he has tens or jacks - so be it.

[Profish2285]

On a side note, betting 9 or 10 is too much imo. Betting between 1/2-2/3 in a 3 bet pot is definitely enough.

[Speedlimits]

[ QUOTE ]
On a side note, betting 9 or 10 is too much imo. Betting between 1/2-2/3 in a 3 bet pot is definitely enough.

[/ QUOTE ]

villain isnt folding ak/aq so 10 is fine.

[Profish2285]

I guess I put too much thought into balance but if I am going to c-bet 1/2-2/3 pot with air or a weaker hand than in this one, then I have to do the same here.

[Speedlimits]

[ QUOTE ]
I guess I put too much thought into balance but if I am going to c-bet 1/2-2/3 pot with air or a weaker hand than in this one, then I have to do the same here.

[/ QUOTE ]

balancing only matters against good opponents though.