#41
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
[ QUOTE ]
So in summation, your feelings are that all teasers should be done whenever you see them without regard for sharpening numbers? Great. What a novel and +EV idea. [/ QUOTE ] uh yea.. you must've missed when i said this [ QUOTE ] also, this where line-movement prediction becomes vital for a capper. anyone who has experience could've seen that wash+3 and caro+3 were moving in opposite directions. [/ QUOTE ] okay i'll give you this, if you're a newbie who is absolutely clueless about line movement and have absolute no opinion on the sides, then yes, it's conceivable that you can obtain a better edge by letting others sharpen the spread for you before you tease.. however, if you have confidence that you have a reasonably sound judgment in regards to line movement. then there is nothing wrong w/ teasing early and derive more ev off the rogue spreads.. using the example of teasing a +3 -130 candidate early (same as +2.5 -110) b/c it finished +3.5 as a reason for why you shouldn't tease games early, is as ridiculous as saying you shouldn't ever bet openers b/c the +3 opener you took straight up *might* have a chance to close at +3.5 in the end, it's all about how sound your judgment in regards to line movement is and not at all about whether +3 -130 is a good tease early or not. |
#42
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry?
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#43
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
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If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry? [/ QUOTE ] what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra |
#44
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If you are this good at predicting line movements, teasers aren't the best way to take advantage of that skill. If this is the point you're getting at, I'm sorry? [/ QUOTE ] what do you gain more from, betting a team straight up at +1.5 knowing there's a 60% chance it might go to +1 and 40% chance of it staying the same or go to +2. or teasing it up 6 pts? this is elementary algebra [/ QUOTE ] Yawn. Priceaments? |
#45
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
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thx for sucking Eli [/ QUOTE ] |
#46
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Re: Wong Teasers, Week 12
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nyg -1.5 jax -2.5 cin +7.5 den +7.5 SDG -2.5 RR all for 1 unit [/ QUOTE ] quick math from memory is +1.2 on 3 teamers, and +2u on 2-teamers. |
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