nl100 vbet river?

[holdme]

maybe this is a stupid q, maybe not. notice stacks.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $242.70
SB: $78.70
BB: $100.80
UTG: $125.90
MP: $199.45
CO: $98.50

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $3.50</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, 2 folds, MP calls $8.50

Flop: ($25.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($25.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $14</font>, Hero calls $14

River: ($53.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks,

villain is tag. checked flop to control pot size. turn call obv. river: im thinking that this is a good spot for villain to c/r with hands like aq or kk and i'm worried about that. i'm not positive about that though because i havent shown strength. if i bet, the only thing that calls that im ahead of is ak.

[RockRattler]

I would bet flop and I v-bet river.

The way you played it I think he calls with QQ here often.

[sightless]

BET FLOP!!!!!

value bet river ~40$ when he checks

[BigMac1082]

the whole point of taking this line is to get value out of TPWK or 2nd pair. Definitely value bet this river. this is pretty elementary imo. Bet like 2/3rds of the pot.

[sh58]

bet flop for sure, even this deep.

i would Vbet the river 100%

[Chicago Twister]

Here is the narration that went thru my mind as I read this post:

Preflop: "Oh, yeah! This is gonna be sexxy!"
Flop: "Oh, NOOOOOO! 1000 puppies just died"
Turn:" "Oh, I get it, he's checking to induce value! Ok, 500 puppies revived..."
River: "LOL? Wait, he wasn't checking to induce???"