Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Micro Stakes

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:15 PM
HoldEmNewby HoldEmNewby is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: \"Noony noony noo...\"
Posts: 2,019
Default Push with the nut flush draw...

I think this is standard

Line Check.
Villain ran at 41/8
FA of 0.64
WTSD of 39
WSD of 31

So even though he'd probably call me more often, I think i'm +EV even if called. That said does his flop raise scare you?

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $24.99
UTG: $117.16
CO: $56.12
BTN: $61.22
Hero (SB): $64.43

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG calls $0.50, CO folds, BTN calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $2.50, BTN folds

Flop: ($7) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $7.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $14</font>, Hero raises to $61 and is all-in
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:21 PM
Joefish126 Joefish126 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 25
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

After UTGs minraise I don't think we have much fold equity in this spot. Villain could easily have 22 or a small flush already. I would call and get it all in on the turn if a club falls and fold if we don't improve and villain pots it.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:21 PM
STARSCREAM. STARSCREAM. is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 167
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

This play is +EV, just not by a whole lot.

I'd also prefer reraising to like 44, it makes it look more like you're value betting.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:23 PM
traz traz is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Sleeping on stacks
Posts: 19,775
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

I believe this is the best way to play this hand against this opponent
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:27 PM
AFCBeer AFCBeer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 167
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:31 PM
traz traz is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Sleeping on stacks
Posts: 19,775
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

[ QUOTE ]
His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often.

[/ QUOTE ]

that'd be hard if he didn't have a club right?
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:34 PM
AFCBeer AFCBeer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 167
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
His stats (FA = flop aggression?) are those of a calling station. When stations min-raise its usually bad news. You have the nut flush and getting great odds to draw. If a club falls on the turn I expect you to get his stack often.

[/ QUOTE ]

that'd be hard if he didn't have a club right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Agree but I think his min raise is likely to be a set or a made flush a significant proportion of the time. I wouldn't be surprised if villain would stack off with a set.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:37 PM
HoldEmNewby HoldEmNewby is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: \"Noony noony noo...\"
Posts: 2,019
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

nobody folds a set, but how often does he have one? If this was a TAG i could understand that logic but against this villain i think i see random junk often.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:40 PM
ajmargarine ajmargarine is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: one decision
Posts: 12,050
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

std, hard and fast baby. nh.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-22-2007, 06:41 PM
AFCBeer AFCBeer is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 167
Default Re: Push with the nut flush draw...

Obviously a lot depends on your read here. I see that flop aggression of 0.64 so thats why I think his min raise is strong. If it is a small sample or you believe this could be done with random junk then I'm pushing like 100% of the time.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:20 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.