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  #81  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:49 AM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
I think crockpot is moving the totals as he bets. I rarely get a bet in at his number.

[/ QUOTE ]

Totals have much lower limits, so are more volatile.
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  #82  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:50 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think crockpot is moving the totals as he bets. I rarely get a bet in at his number.

[/ QUOTE ]

Totals have much lower limits, so are more volatile.

[/ QUOTE ]

D'oh, I suck at reading comprehension.
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  #83  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:53 AM
Jordan Jordan is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think crockpot is moving the totals as he bets. I rarely get a bet in at his number.

[/ QUOTE ]

I get his number on about 2/3rds of bets and I don't have a CRIS account, which explains the others.

+130 Tex and Hou is still available at WSEX, Bos +180 still available at VIP, Evs SF still available at 5Dimes, you have to hunt around a bit.

[/ QUOTE ]

I got bets down at all of his sides. Most at his number. A few at close numbers, I took +148 on Cle and +175 on Bos. Getting his number on the totals is more difficult. For example best I can find on ChW/Tex is U9.5 -120.
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  #84  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:53 AM
Homer Homer is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

Wow, what an ending to the Seattle game. Beltre should have been held at 3rd, and it wasn't particularly close.
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  #85  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:54 AM
Jordan Jordan is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

wow. what a finish to the twins game. i jumped in my chair when i saw them wave beltre home.
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  #86  
Old 04-19-2007, 12:54 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
Wow, what an ending to the Seattle game. Beltre should have been held at 3rd, and it wasn't particularly close.

[/ QUOTE ]

When I saw them waving him home, I assumed we'd 'lost' another in the ninth, and then they cut to home plate and he wasn't even in camera shot.
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  #87  
Old 04-19-2007, 01:07 AM
Macdaddy Warsaw Macdaddy Warsaw is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

Parlayed U 11 at EVEN and Carmona: +146 (dropped from +148 just before I made it). 1u to win almost 4. Guess we'll all be following this game at 1 EST.

Thanks for the analysis. I was going to take a day off, but I'll follow some other picks.
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  #88  
Old 04-19-2007, 01:16 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

added:

Phi/Was under 8.5 +110 (1)
NYM/Fla over 9 -118 (1) - the system calls this a borderline 2 unit play at this level before accounting for the wind, which is currently scheduled to blow straight out. if you can't find better than -120, you can play 1 unit if you want to be conservative.

i believe updated totals YTD is 11-12-6, -2.50. anyone can feel free to check my math; my records have a few extra bets and different units (different from posts) in them that are confounding things.

wow, what a min-sea finish. looked like an idiotic decision to send beltre, but i wasn't there. at the very least beltre should have put the brakes on when it was clear he was going to be out if the throw was anywhere near the plate.

updated ML record: 36-36, +42.19 assuming SD loses.

edit: i like how we're not only playing the same games but also thinking on the same wavelengths now (three "wows"). a real zen thing.
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  #89  
Old 04-19-2007, 01:20 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
I got bets down at all of his sides. Most at his number. A few at close numbers, I took +148 on Cle and +175 on Bos. Getting his number on the totals is more difficult. For example best I can find on ChW/Tex is U9.5 -120.

[/ QUOTE ]

many of these bets are on 5dimes' reduced juice, which tends to move 4 cents in response to a max bet. as for the totals, as i said earlier, they seem much quicker to move those lines in the face of action.

if you'd prefer i stick to widely available numbers, that's fine. i'm just copying them down as i bet them.
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  #90  
Old 04-19-2007, 01:26 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I got bets down at all of his sides. Most at his number. A few at close numbers, I took +148 on Cle and +175 on Bos. Getting his number on the totals is more difficult. For example best I can find on ChW/Tex is U9.5 -120.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're doing enough work as it is and it's appreciated.
Pretty sure that the individual can work out roughly how much they're missing out on and if it's still good for them.
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