5 Play NBA Parlay ----------- SHIP

[Lori]

[ QUOTE ]
And now, I am addicted to sports betting. Sweet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't do it. I have to go through that 2-10 times a night, although on a lot smaller scale.

Lori

[MattSuspect]

and now this on the bubble of the big full tilt nightly.

Full Tilt Poker Game #1753077378: $35,000 Guarantee (12858337), Table 2 - 600/1200 Ante 150 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:36:23 ET - 2007/02/07
Seat 1: DUSoonerKid (16,811)
Seat 2: sp3685 (12,794)
Seat 4: bu11ethunter (50,901)
Seat 5: busto_soon (29,914)
Seat 6: MattSuspect (12,949)
Seat 7: strider22 (19,587)
Seat 8: CHKRAZER37 (52,448)
Seat 9: kballero (5,186)
DUSoonerKid antes 150
sp3685 antes 150
bu11ethunter antes 150
busto_soon antes 150
MattSuspect antes 150
strider22 antes 150
CHKRAZER37 antes 150
kballero antes 150
busto_soon posts the small blind of 600
MattSuspect posts the big blind of 1,200
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MattSuspect [Ac Ah]
strider22 folds
CHKRAZER37 folds
kballero folds
DUSoonerKid raises to 16,661, and is all in
sp3685 folds
bu11ethunter folds
busto_soon folds
MattSuspect calls 11,599, and is all in
DUSoonerKid shows [Qd 9s]
MattSuspect shows [Ac Ah]
Uncalled bet of 3,862 returned to DUSoonerKid
*** FLOP *** [2h 5c Tc]
sp3685: loooool
*** TURN *** [2h 5c Tc] [Jc]
*** RIVER *** [2h 5c Tc Jc] [Ks]
DUSoonerKid shows a straight, King high
MattSuspect shows a pair of Aces
sp3685: omg
DUSoonerKid wins the pot (27,398) with a straight, King high
sp3685: sick
sp3685: sick
MattSuspect stands up
sp3685: sick
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 27,398 | Rake 0
Board: [2h 5c Tc Jc Ks]
Seat 1: DUSoonerKid showed [Qd 9s] and won (27,398) with a straight, King high
Seat 2: sp3685 folded before the Flop
Seat 4: bu11ethunter (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 5: busto_soon (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 6: MattSuspect (big blind) showed [Ac Ah] and lost with a pair of Aces
Seat 7: strider22 folded before the Flop
Seat 8: CHKRAZER37 folded before the Flop
Seat 9: kballero folded before the Flop

[MattSuspect]

You have wagered $150.00 to win $16419.61 on:
OVER 196.5 CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
LOS ANGELES L LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
MILWAUKEE MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS
CHICAGO CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
UNDER 196.0 LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
UNDER 193.5 MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS

[bugstud]

GET THERE ONE TIME

[Aloysius]

[ QUOTE ]
You have wagered $150.00 to win $16419.61 on:
OVER 196.5 CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
LOS ANGELES L LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
MILWAUKEE MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS
CHICAGO CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
UNDER 196.0 LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
UNDER 193.5 MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS

[/ QUOTE ]

ahahah awesome! (god parlays are for suckers [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img])

I sincerely look forward to DN following you.

-Al

[Lori]

WSEX parlays actually have no worse EV than if you took the six bets individually as they use the true odds.

They do of course still have huge variance and the natural -EV (If Matt doesn't know anything about sports betting that is)

Lori

[DeezNuts]

Risking: 25.00 To Win: 2869.06
ON:02/08/2007@05:05 PM [702] TOTAL u193½-110 (MILWAUKEE vrs NEW ORLEANS) - NBA
ON:02/08/2007@05:05 PM [701] MILWAUKEE +175 - NBA
ON:02/08/2007@05:05 PM [704] TOTAL u196-110 (LA LAKERS vrs DETROIT) - NBA
ON:02/08/2007@05:05 PM [703] LA LAKERS +175 - NBA
ON:02/08/2007@07:35 PM [705] TOTAL o195½-110 (CHICAGO vrs SACRAMENTO) - NBA
ON:02/08/2007@07:35 PM [705] CHICAGO +120 - NBA

Dowit dowit.

DN

[Aloysius]

Lori:

[ QUOTE ]
WSEX parlays actually have no worse EV than if you took the six bets individually as they use the true odds.

[/ QUOTE ]

That makes sense.

[ QUOTE ]
They do of course still have huge variance and the natural -EV (If Matt doesn't know anything about sports betting that is)

[/ QUOTE ]

Gogogogogo IndieMatt!

-Al

Edit - ahaaha and DeezNuts!

[KLJ]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You have wagered $150.00 to win $16419.61 on:
OVER 196.5 CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
LOS ANGELES L LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
MILWAUKEE MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS
CHICAGO CHICAGO AT SACRAMENTO
UNDER 196.0 LOS ANGELES L AT DETROIT
UNDER 193.5 MILWAUKEE AT NEW ORLEANS

[/ QUOTE ]

ahahah awesome! (god parlays are for suckers [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img])

I sincerely look forward to DN following you.

-Al

[/ QUOTE ]

isn't this a winning bet if we are > 45.72% to win each of these on average? is sports betting really that -ev?

[MattSuspect]

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] you all.

(I know this is throwing money away, but whatever, instead of going out, my friends are coming over we all got these bets, the NBA All Access package, beers and pizza)