#81
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Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
I'd be very very happy with a Machida/Rampage fight.
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#82
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Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
Afterthoughts minus hindsight bias
32501 MICHAEL BISPING +215 32502 RASHAD EVANS -275 This was an ultracompetitive fight but realistically how often does Bisping actually win? 50/50 is unlikely and 45/55 is still probably a stretch. All in all there was def value on Bisping, but I would say it was a light bet. I see no value in Rashad at available lines before or after. 8:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32503 THIAGO SILVA +125 32504 HOUSTON ALEXANDER -155 This was a medium money bet in retrospect. I originally recommended Thiago to many of my friends for the same reason viscant did, but switched my stance due to the hype and performify's recommendation. This was the fight many of us bettors were expecting to happen last time vs Alessio Sakara...that is a sloppy powerhouse get technically exploited. I think there was def value in a Thiago bet, but I wouldn't have gone heavy. Houston is still one of the strongest and hardest pucnher @ 205 and the fight certainly could have gone different. 7:45 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32505 JOE DOERKSEN +120 32506 ED HERMAN -150 This line also seemed fairly well set. I think most of us agreed doerksen woulda been a great bet had he had a full training camp. 7:25 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32507 RYO CHONAN +275 32508 KARO PARISYAN -345 Karo came out looking horrible and still Ryo could do nothing. I don't like betting heavy favorites, but .6u on karo might have been the right play imo. 7:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32509 SPENCER FISHER -115 32510 FRANK EDGAR -115 This bet was HUGE value. Fisher didnt' stand a chance. His chances of winning were the odds of landing a flying knee. Fisher may have lighting quick hands and combos, but he doesn't have massive KO power so even a flash KO wasn't likely. 5:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32511 CHRIS LYTLE +150 32512 THIAGO ALVES -180 On the fence on this one. Line seems somewhat well set, I'm happy with my action bet on Alves, but I think there was small value in lytle when he blipped up around +170. Wish we saw a 3rd round. 5:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32513 JASON REINHARDT +450 32514 JOE LAUZON -600 I still dont't hink I coulda touched this line. 5:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32515 LUKE CAUDILLO +350 32516 MARCUS AURELIO -450 Seemed pretty well set. I dont' think Aurelio is gonna cut it in the ufc. 5:00 PM11 /17 /07# Money Line 32517 TAMDAN MCCRORY +215 32518 AKIHIRO GONO -275 Small-to medium value on Mccory imo. AWESOME fight too. |
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