CFB Early Lines Thread (week of 10/8)

[MyTurn2Raise]

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3u BC -12 and 2u BC -13
1u Wiscy +6.5
2u Illinois -2.5 (I think MyTurn was expecting higher.)

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yeah...I was expecting at least a TD

WTF at -2.5?!

[NajdorfDefense]

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Wow, almost took USC-19, now it's 21+, keep going so I can fade them!

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22.5 and still going

[hedgie43]

Illini -2.5 is very WTF. Benn and Williams only have minor injuries, right?

[iggymcfly]

Sagarin predictor only has Illinois favored by 2. I think this line's probably sharper than you'd think.

[MyTurn2Raise]

sagarin predictor is still bayesian = garbage in this case

[iggymcfly]

Letdown has to be a worry for the Illini too, going on the road after facing back-to-back ranked teams. They could easily come out sloppy and find themselves down 14-3 at halftime.

[NajdorfDefense]

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BC 3u -12
UK +10.5 1u

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forgot to post Ark -2.5 for 1u @6:36
amazed I nailed lsu, ark, missou, GT opens.

[bills217]

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If Tennessee is just -7, it'll be my play of the year.

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Play of the year time! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[bills217]

Louisville is just befuddling to me. I look at that line of 10.5 against Cincy and it just SCREAMS value at me. In the preseason this line was probably UL -6. They have great athletes, even on defense! They have Brian Brohm! They're gonna score some points, maybe a lot if Douglas plays! They were in the preseason top 10!

But MAN has the defense been BAD...cover-your-eyes bad...hard-to-wager-on bad. And they have a bad result, a horrible result, and a historically awful result to go along with one decent result. Tough one to call.

[ClunkerDuds]

[ QUOTE ]
Illini -2.5 is very WTF. Benn and Williams only have minor injuries, right?

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Yep, Zooker says they'll both be playing @ Iowa but that they'll be going really lightly in practice early this week. He's also really worried about the letdown factor but thinks the seniors like Leman won't let that happen.