LOTR: Fellowship of the Ring (GAME THREAD)

[econophile]

aaron

[dmk]

zurvan, do you promise you're a villager?

[Zurvan]

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we should vote for someone who voted GT1T day one

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We should stop obsessing over that vote

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do you really not think at least one wolf would try to save the wolf seer?

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How long do we focus on those 7 people to the exclusion of everybody else? Voting based on a single bandwagon, when we don't even know GT's role, is ridiculous. Bandwagon analysis is good, but not overly reliable in this spot. There was a lot of people with pressure that day. We know one of their roles. We don't know clown, voj or GT1T. Their roles matter a lot in the analysis.

We lynched fmxda, of all people, yesterday. Today, you want to lynch another gt voter. What if GT is another power evil? What if everybody voting him was a villager, and the wolves were all afraid to switch? WE DON'T HAVE ENOUGH INFORMATION TO DRAW CONCLUSIONS BASED ON D1 VOTING

[Zurvan]

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zurvan, do you promise you're a villager?

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you know it

[dmk]

i still need to re-read w/ all of these deaths in mind. i'll probably do that late tonight

[Neil S]

Er, I missed that Nez voted GT1T. I could be talked into switching his way.

And NO, I'm not just saying that because he voted me!

[dmk]

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zurvan, do you promise you're a villager?

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you know it

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good, lets do this then for now

clown

[Nicholasp27]

zurvan's post on day one wagon is very helpful (saved me time, thanks)

we don't get that for day 2 since we all voted fmx


i think gt is likely villager, pushed up to save tfg/voj/clown

also, notice amp and herbie were on voj...books on clown...

books killed n1 and amp or herbie n2...

everything is consistent with voj/clown being wolves...doesn't mean they are, but the pieces fit if it is true

vote voj

people on gt1t for if voj shows up wolf: aaron/dmk/fmx(villager)/yuppie/nez/tfg(wolf)/traz


so the 6 wolves could be:

tfg (def)
voj
clown

and 3 of: aaron/dmk/yuppie/nez/traz

nez has had wolfiest posts

dmk was on books at 8pm day one along with voj/clowntable when it was 4tfg/5voj/3books...makes sense to me if voj is a wolf since books is villager..

aaron voted tfg when voj had a ton...if voj shows up plain wolf or villager, then aaron looks better...if voj shows up godfather, then he'll look worse...i say we don't lynch aaron until we lynch voj...


bottom line: voj is the most likely wolf and we learn a ton as well when we find out his identity...

[xorbie]

i trust dmk.

clown

[lastchance]

Hmm.....

traz

Hasn't posted any analysis and he's been trying to duck attacks on him. I still think he's evil.