MyTurn's bowl picks

[MyTurn2Raise]

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Cal -4 v Texas A&M
Longshore is great when not rushed. A&M's defense is pretty uninspiring.


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Only game I'm on for tonight. These offenses will score, score, and score. The issue is that they might only get 3-4 drives per half as A&M is a ball controlling machine. So, I'm away from the under. This is a great matchup.

[MyTurn2Raise]

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Cal -4 v Texas A&M
Longshore is great when not rushed. A&M's defense is pretty uninspiring.


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Cal 45 A&amp;M 10 <font color="green">WIN </font>

I was blown away by the Cal D. The other side of the ball was not a surprise at all

Only game I'm on for tonight. These offenses will score, score, and score. The issue is that they might only get 3-4 drives per half as A&amp;M is a ball controlling machine. So, I'm away from the under. This is a great matchup.

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[MyTurn2Raise]

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Purdue/Maryland O50.5

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my only pick for Friday games as of know. Still value at 52.5. I'd lay off at 54 or higher.

Purdue is scoring just over 27 and allowing just under 27 a game. A closer look at the bowl teams they played is revealing.

27-21 W v Minnesota
21-35 L @ Notre Dame
17-47 L @ Iowa
3-24 L v Wisconsin
0-12 L v Penn St
35-42 L @ Hawaii

bowl teams are averaging over 30 per game verse the Boilers.
Maryland is only averaging 21 per game, but expect them to get near 30 verse the Boilers.

On the other side of the ball, Maryland did a good job stopping teams that didn't pass well this season, such as Miami and Clemson. However, all the pass happy teams, put up 20+ on Maryland. The Terps just don't have enough size, speed, and depth to cover multiple threats....see BC and FSU games.

The Terps allow 5.66 ypp and the Boilers allow 6.09 ypp [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img].

Maryland avg 5.13 ypp and Purdue 6.21 ypp.

Looks like a game near 60 points from all my calculations. My median expected game is 57.

[MyTurn2Raise]

NCAA Football Bowl Props
Sun Bowl
Player Props
Total rushing yards by Yvenson Bernard?

1365) Over 100.5 rushing yards -108
good to -120

Bernard has been over this total in 6 of 12 games played this year and 6 of 12 played last year. Mizzou, after starting the year well, has been run over in 7 of the last 8 games (only pass happy Texas Tech didn't go for 160+). Mizzou got banged up with injuries and Brian Smith still isn't back. Expect Oregon St to be able to feature a dual threat offense and for Bernard to get his 100.

[MyTurn2Raise]

Alright, had to add
Clemson -10 v Kentucky good to -12.5

Jeez, Clemson's #5 rushing attack (of 225 ypg) faces off against Kentucky's #112 rush defense...ouch. I mean, La-Monroe ran for well over 300 verse Kentucky. How can Kentucky stop Clemson.

On the other side of the ball, Clemson's pass efficiency defense is #4 in the country. Kentucky faced 3 other top25 pass efficiency defenses (LSU, Georgia, and Louisville). All 3 of those teams made the Wildcat pass game struggle.

My expectation is a 17 point Clemson win.

[MyTurn2Raise]

2nd half pick
Clemson -8 v Kentucky

this is an absolute joke in the first half. Clemson dominated, but made 3 turnovers in non-turnover producing situations. Clemson is averaging 7.5 ypp and can do what they want.

Kentucky's turnovers resulted from numerous 3rd and longs and tackles for loss.

This one should be ugly as Clemson is very superior on the field.

[MyTurn2Raise]

the potential downfall is Kentucky did find a way to adjust and get two long passes late in the half.

[MyTurn2Raise]

oops...forgot another downfall:
Bowden is a terrible coach and not smart enough to keep running the ball.

[MyTurn2Raise]

<font color="Red">LOSER LOSER LOSER so far today</font>

Clemson was the correct side in retrospect, too. Damn...the line moves after my bet were estimating that I had a huge edge.....oh well. Fluke turnovers and terrible coaching were too much to overcome. As Rod Gilmore correctly criticized early in the 2nd half, Clemson should've stayed committed to the run.



I also missed my Oregon St RB (Bernard) O100.5 bet. He had 98 yards [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]. He did average over 4 ypc.
Beavers fell behind and had to pass alot, which they did with success.

[MyTurn2Raise]

Curtis Painter (PUR) Ov. 38½ Pass Attempts -120
Football - College Props CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL - Props
(Purdue vs Maryland) - Friday, December 29th (8:00pm) Total Pass Attempts in the game - Moneyline

@ Bodog

Painter has been over this number in 8 of 13 games. Purdue throws alot verse the better teams. good to -135 by my estimates