#61
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Re: hit two pair turn check raise super DEEP
'man does limon own this thread. Best analysis I've seen in a while on 2+2.'
'i think min c/ring and folding to a 3bet is bad this deep, but possibly ok at 100bb or so.' would some1 mind telling me if these posts are jokes or serious? this thread is pretty confusing... |
#62
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Re: hit two pair turn check raise super DEEP
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] you have to call 4k to win 16k, which almost makes this a coinflip. [/ QUOTE ] lol [/ QUOTE ] you dont seem to understand the concept of a coinflip if we have 13 clean outs, we are 29.5% to win on the river. so, if the pot is 11k, and we have to call 3k to win 14k. 3k is 21.4% of 14k. this means if the villian has A4 or 44, we have an expected +EV of 8% of 14k, or 1.12k. if villian has AA, we are 20.5% to win on the river. using the same values from the previous scenario, we have a -EV of .9% of 14k, or -126. so, lets assume villian has AA, 99, or A9, 85% of the time, and villian has 44, A4 10% of the time, and all other hands 5% of the time. -126(.85) + 1120(.1) = -107 + 112 = +5 (note that we are disregarding the anomoly hands in this example as those hands were not relevent to the discussion.) so, like <font color="black"> </font> I SAID <font color="black"> </font> , we are basically coin flipping. do you understand now? really, there are enough moronic clods that post in these forums, please do us a favor and do not become one of them. thank you. [/ QUOTE ] seems that everyone's perception is that there is a positive correlation between postcount and poker advice-giving ability |
#63
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Re: hit two pair turn check raise super DEEP
i meant to edit my post, but i couldnt. obv not folding to a shove if you do a min c/r at 100bb.
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#64
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Re: hit two pair turn check raise super DEEP
[ QUOTE ]
'man does limon own this thread. Best analysis I've seen in a while on 2+2.' 'i think min c/ring and folding to a 3bet is bad this deep, but possibly ok at 100bb or so.' would some1 mind telling me if these posts are jokes or serious? this thread is pretty confusing... [/ QUOTE ] you should know by now im never joking and im always confusing |
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