Fun Hand Analysis Contest--Win Free $250 - Page 6

Megenoita · #51 12-20-2006, 01:34 AM

Excellent estimating of my approximate equity. Your first paragraph is also well thought out and deep.

Megenoita · #52 12-20-2006, 01:36 AM

Point 3 is wrong, but debatable. I don't believe it's +EV, but it could be depending on the table and metagame effects.

Point 6 is off a bit, but very nice effort on the math.

Megenoita · #53 12-20-2006, 01:39 AM

Point 1 is wrong, and I'll expound in my final post.

Point 2 is pretty good.

Point 3 is wrong; it's a losing play in the long run, but again, it could be debated.

Point 4, just a comment-the fact that villain took time doesn't mean he obv. doesn't have AA. I would certainly take fake time there with AA to hope that the pfr'er would call me lighter.

Point 6 is off a bit; it's slightly +EV.

Clayton · #54 12-20-2006, 01:40 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Excellent estimating of my approximate equity. Your first paragraph is also well thought out and deep.

[/ QUOTE ]

ack

Clayton · #55 12-20-2006, 01:41 AM

do keep in mind your entire reputation is in fact on the line here in actually, you know, paying out. and stuff.

Megenoita · #56 12-20-2006, 01:41 AM

Point 2, I'm not getting 4:1.

Point 4 is wrong. Even though I am a likely dog, I am getting darn good odds.

Point 6 is wrong; it's slightly +EV and your figures are off a bit.

Megenoita · #57 12-20-2006, 01:42 AM

Believe it or not, very good attempt. Point 1 is wrong, though.

Clayton · #58 12-20-2006, 01:45 AM

I [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Megenoita

McGobbler · #59 12-20-2006, 01:46 AM

Okay not quoting who you are responding to makes this zero comprehendable, just something to point out.

Megenoita · #60 12-20-2006, 01:46 AM

Very good reasoning and you're decently close, but you're off a bit.

Points 1-3 are good (but point 1 you lose b/c you gave multiple scenarios instead of ONE that you choose for the answer).

Point 4 is where your argument falls apart. If I raise to 43 and fold to a push, it's not like my table image of being a lag idiot falls apart [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. If anything, it solidifies it (who raises to 43 then folds???). Also, I don't need people to respect my 43 dollar raises [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. If they don't, I'll just do it with AA/KK and ship the monies.