#51
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
You need to look at big books that have lots of sharp and square players to really know what the market looks like. Just because one book moves from Det +1.5 to PK doesn't mean the whole market is behaving that way. Put it this way, if 94% are on Detroit, why don't you think your book has moved this to Det -3? Shouldn't they be dying for Arizona bets now? They haven't, and they aren't, because they're either getting the 6% are making huge Arizona bets or they are comfortable holding a big Zona position.
Pinnacle is usually a fairly good barometer of the entire market, even though they don't accept US customers anymore. Comparing Pinny, WSEX, and Bookmaker/CRIS probably give a good representation of market movements. Pinny's an extremely successful book and yet always deals -105 or better lines. That's not by accident. That's why many people pay attention to the "Pinny lean." It's not foolproof obviously, but it's one good indicator among many. |
#52
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread.
Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game. |
#53
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
At least you have reasons to back up your lock of the millenium.
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#54
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game. [/ QUOTE ] Done! On the off-chance the Cowboys don't cover, I hope you've got a nice guest room. - C - |
#55
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread. Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game. [/ QUOTE ] I seem to remember posts like this in Week 2 about Cincy...that worked out great. |
#56
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
HEllo ALl I am looking in starting Sports betting I would like for one of you to show me how Bet sports and who know the most here... WOuld like your help...
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#57
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
First off, I would like to apoligize. I rarely visit this forum, and contribute even more rarely. However, every once and a great while, I spot a pick whose true line is so far off base I just need to post it, and it deserves its own thread. Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible on this game. [/ QUOTE ] What do you think the true line should be? |
#58
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
cincy +4.5
dallas -1 detroit +1.5 |
#59
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
Looks like there's only 1 Wongable game this week. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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#60
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***
Look around. Det +1.5 and NY Giants +1.5 are available.
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